International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 5.00pm
Al Salam Stadium

Equatorial Guinea vs Burundi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 10.00am
Eq Guinea 1 - 1 Madagascar

Burundi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Burundi has a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Burundi win it is 0-1 (7.53%).

Result

Equatorial Guinea 50.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 25%
Burundi 24.15% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.1% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 26.56% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 49% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 51% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 27.65% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 72.35% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.76% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 84.24% ▲ (+0.12)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 1.5 46.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 22.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 77.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 8.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 91.42% ▲ (+0.05)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5 58.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 41.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 25.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 74.9% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 7.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 92.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.95% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 50.85%
Draw 24.99%
Burundi 24.15%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 50.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.99%
Burundi
0-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 24.15%