International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 5.00pm
Al Salam Stadium

Equatorial Guinea vs Burundi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 10.00am
Eq Guinea 1 - 1 Madagascar

Burundi

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Burundi has a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Burundi win it is 0-1 (7.51%).

Result

Equatorial Guinea 50.8% (-0.31)
Draw 25% (-0.06)
Burundi 24.25% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.2% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.57% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 26.43% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 49.15% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 50.85% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 27.8% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 72.2% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 15.88% (+0.40)
Under 4.5 84.12% (-0.40)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 1.5 46.89% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.11% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 22.15% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 77.85% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 8.63% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 91.37% (-0.13)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5 58.73% (+0.51)
Under 0.5 41.27% (-0.51)
Over 1.5 25.24% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 74.76% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 8.04% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 91.96% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 2.09% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 97.91% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 50.81%
Draw 25%
Burundi 24.23%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.07% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.06)
Other @ 8.51% (+0.12)
Total : 50.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.8% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 25%
Burundi
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.95% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.79% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.28% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.97% (+0.11)
Total : 24.23%