Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Chad had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Chad win was 1-0 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%).