Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 31, 2026 2.00pm

Burundi vs Chad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
Chad 0 - 4 Burundi

Chad

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
Chad 0 - 4 Burundi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burundi win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Chad has a probability of 31.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Chad win is 0-1 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.6%).

Result

Burundi 45.06%
Draw 23.67% (-0.01)
Chad 31.3% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.02% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.98% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.04%
Under 2.5 44.96%
Over 3.5 33.27% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.73% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.16% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.84% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Burundi 39.39%
Draw 40.23%
Chad 20.38%

Team To Score First

Burundi 59.39%
No Goal 6.35%
Chad 34.26%

Corners

Over 8 19.41% (-0.04)
Equal 8 7.84% (-0.01)
Under 8 72.74% (+0.04)
Over 9 13.75% (-0.02)
Equal 9 5.66% (-0.01)
Under 9 80.59% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 9.86% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 90.14% (+0.02)

Burundi Goals

Over 1.5 44.77% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.23% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.55% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.65%
Under 3.5 91.35%

Chad Goals

Over 0.5 64.82% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.18% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.83% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.17% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.26% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.74% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Burundi 45.06%
Draw 23.68%
Chad 31.3%
Burundi
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 8.44% (+0.01)
Total : 45.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 23.68%
Chad
0-1 @ 7.15% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.79% (+0.03)
Total : 31.3%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jordi Liongola 6'
  • goal Bienvenue Kanakimana 32'
  • goal Abdoul Karim 63'
  • goal Mossi Nduwumwe 75'