Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Chad had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Chad win was 0-1 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%).