Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 31, 2026 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Intwari
  • Bienvenue Kanakimana 14' goal
  • Bienvenue Kanakimana 21' goal
  • Jean Claude Girumugisha 71' goal
  • Abdoul Karim 81' goal

Burundi vs Chad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
Chad 0 - 4 Burundi

Chad

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
Chad 0 - 4 Burundi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Chad had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Chad win was 0-1 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%).

Result

Burundi 45.09% (+0.04)
Draw 23.67%
Chad 31.24% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.6% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.95% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.05% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 55.01% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.99% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.24% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.76% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 20.12% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.88% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Burundi 39.39%
Draw 40.23%
Chad 20.38%

Team To Score First

Burundi 59.39%
No Goal 6.35%
Chad 34.26%

Corners

Over 8 19.41%
Equal 8 7.84%
Under 8 72.74%
Over 9 13.75%
Equal 9 5.66%
Under 9 80.59%
Over 10.5 9.86%
Under 10.5 90.14%

Burundi Goals

Over 1.5 44.77%
Under 1.5 55.23%
Over 2.5 21.56% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.65%
Under 3.5 91.35%

Chad Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 35.25% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.75% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.25% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.21% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.79% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 4.97% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.03% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Burundi 45.09%
Draw 23.66%
Chad 31.23%
Burundi
1-0 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 8.44%
Total : 45.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.66%
Chad
0-1 @ 7.15%
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 4.76% (-0.04)
Total : 31.23%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 27, 2026 1.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jordi Liongola 6'
  • goal Bienvenue Kanakimana 32'
  • goal Abdoul Karim 63'
  • goal Mossi Nduwumwe 75'