Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a India win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a India win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (11.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.