Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
  • Alie Conteh 7' goal
  • Sallieu Tarawallie 27' goal
  • yellowcard Shane Maroodza 51'
  • goal Marshall Munetsi 72'
  • yellowcard Bill Antonio  75'
  • goal Tawanda Chirewa 76'
  • goal Marshall Munetsi 88'

Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 1-0 (10.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Sierra Leone 35.72%
Draw 27.52%
Zimbabwe 36.79%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.54%
Under 1.5 31.46%
Over 2.5 44.97%
Under 2.5 55.03%
Over 3.5 24.93%
Under 3.5 75.07%
Over 4.5 14.21%
Under 4.5 85.79%

First Half Winner

Sierra Leone 25.14%
Draw 47.67%
Zimbabwe 27.19%

Team To Score First

Sierra Leone 46.51%
No Goal 10.07%
Zimbabwe 43.42%

Corners

Over 8 17.45%
Equal 8 7.5%
Under 8 75.05%
Over 9 12.17%
Equal 9 5.28%
Under 9 82.55%
Over 10.5 8.6%
Under 10.5 91.4%

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 1.5 32.85%
Under 1.5 67.15%
Over 2.5 13.27%
Under 2.5 86.73%
Over 3.5 4.5%
Under 3.5 95.5%

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5 66.59%
Under 0.5 33.41%
Over 1.5 33.41%
Under 1.5 66.59%
Over 2.5 13.71%
Under 2.5 86.29%
Over 3.5 4.64%
Under 3.5 95.36%

Score analysis

Sierra Leone 35.72%
Draw 27.52%
Zimbabwe 36.79%
Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 7.15%
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 35.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.52%
Zimbabwe
0-1 @ 10.89%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 36.79%