Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte
  • Chancel Mbemba 4' goal
  • Aaron Wan-Bissaka 49' yellowcard
  • Yoane Wissa 72' goal
  • yellowcard Jannick Buyla 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Esteban Orozco 63'

Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.21% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%) , while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Congo DR 47.34%
Draw 27.21%
Equatorial Guinea 25.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.01%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.25%
Under 1.5 31.75%
Over 2.5 42.97%
Under 2.5 57.03%
Over 3.5 22.7%
Under 3.5 77.3%
Over 4.5 12.43%
Under 4.5 87.57%

First Half Winner

Congo DR 30.9%
Draw 49.39%
Equatorial Guinea 19.7%

Team To Score First

Congo DR 54.75%
No Goal 9.99%
Equatorial Guinea 35.26%

Corners

Over 8 40.28%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 48.01%
Over 9 29.88%
Equal 9 10.4%
Under 9 59.72%
Over 10.5 21.34%
Under 10.5 78.66%

Congo DR Goals

Over 1.5 40.6%
Under 1.5 59.4%
Over 2.5 17.67%
Under 2.5 82.33%
Over 3.5 6.34%
Under 3.5 93.66%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 57.97%
Under 0.5 42.03%
Over 1.5 23.61%
Under 1.5 76.39%
Over 2.5 7.27%
Under 2.5 92.73%
Over 3.5 1.84%
Under 3.5 98.16%

Score analysis

Congo DR 47.33%
Draw 27.21%
Equatorial Guinea 25.52%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 6.28%
Total : 47.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.99%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.21%
Equatorial Guinea
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.52%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Feb 7, 2015 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cedric Makiadi 51' yellowcard
  • Cedric Mabwati 87' yellowcard