Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Congo DR 2 - 0 Eq Guinea

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Sierra Leone 2 - 3 Zimbabwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Sierra Leone has a probability of 33.26% and a draw has a probability of 28.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win is 0-1 (10.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).

Result

Equatorial Guinea 37.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 28.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Sierra Leone 33.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.31% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.7% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 31.3% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 44.03% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 55.97% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 22.81% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 77.19% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 12.18% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 87.82% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Equatorial Guinea 26.14%
Draw 47.23%
Sierra Leone 26.63%

Team To Score First

Equatorial Guinea 45.52% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 10.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Sierra Leone 44.11% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 15.75%
Equal 8 6.89%
Under 8 77.36%
Over 9 11%
Equal 9 4.75%
Under 9 84.25%
Over 10.5 7.83%
Under 10.5 92.17%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 1.5 34.72% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 65.28% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 14.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 85.96% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 4.69% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.31% ▲ (+0.10)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5 65.02% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 34.98% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 30.37% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 69.63% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 11.12% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 88.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.8% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 37.75%
Draw 28.94%
Sierra Leone 33.26%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 37.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 28.94%
Sierra Leone
0-1 @ 10.4% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 33.26%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 20, 2022 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Musa Kamara 23' yellowcard
  • Kevin Wright 71' yellowcard
  • Steven Caulker 71' yellowcard
  • Kwame Quee 77' yellowcard
  • Kwame Quee 90' redcard
  • Mohamed Buya Turay 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Ganet 38'
  • yellowcard Carlos Akapo 61'
  • yellowcard Pepin 64'
  • yellowcard Josete Miranda 76'