Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 4.00pm
Stade du 4 Août

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Burkina Faso 1 - 1 Benin

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Mauritania 3 - 1 CAR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw has a probability of 24.15% and a win for Mauritania has a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Mauritania win it is 0-1 (6.22%).

Result

Burkina Faso 62.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.15%
Mauritania 13.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

36.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 40.25%
Under 2.5 59.75%
Over 3.5 20.2%
Under 3.5 79.8%
Over 4.5 12.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.86% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Burkina Faso 49.22%
Draw 40.15%
Mauritania 10.62%

Team To Score First

Burkina Faso 69.14% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 10.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Mauritania 20.33%

Corners

Over 8 21.7%
Equal 8 8.53%
Under 8 69.76%
Over 9 15.37%
Equal 9 6.33%
Under 9 78.3%
Over 10.5 10.92%
Under 10.5 89.08%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 1.5 48.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 23.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 76.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.12%
Under 3.5 90.88%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 42.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 57.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 12.08%
Under 1.5 87.92%
Over 2.5 2.52%
Under 2.5 97.48%
Over 3.5 0.47%
Under 3.5 99.53%

Score analysis

Burkina Faso 62.11%
Draw 24.15%
Mauritania 13.7%
Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 16.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.1%
Total : 62.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 10.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 24.15%
Mauritania
0-1 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 13.7%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 13, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Alassane Diop 45'+9' goal
  • Alassane Diop 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Malo 32'
  • redcard Abdoulaye Touré 41'
  • yellowcard Yves Koutiama 62'
  • yellowcard Moumoune Diallo 66'
  • yellowcard Papus Ouattara 89'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 16, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Bouake
  • Mohamed Konate 45' yellowcard
  • Blati Toure 47' yellowcard
  • Abdoul Tapsoba 76' yellowcard
  • Bertrand Traore 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Nouh Mohamed El Abd 90'+4'
  • yellowcard N. M. El Abd 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Aly Abeid 90'+9'
International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Pere-Jego
  • Issa Kabore 58' yellowcard
  • Pape Ibnou Ba 65' goal
  • Hemeya Tanjy 70' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Anne 78' yellowcard
  • goal 11'
  • goal Mohamed Konate 18'
  • yellowcard Ismahila Ouedraogo 42'
  • goal Stephane Aziz Ki 47'
International Friendlies
Dec 30, 2021 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT TBC