Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
  • Rodolfo Aloko 31' goal
  • Rodolfo Aloko 46' goal
  • Charlemagne Azongnitode 66' yellowcard
  • goal Aboubakary Koita 80'

Benin vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Burkina Faso 1 - 1 Benin

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Mauritania 3 - 1 CAR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benin win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Mauritania has a probability of 32.8% and a draw has a probability of 28.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Mauritania win is 0-1 (10.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).

Result

Benin 38.25% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 28.95% ▼ (-0.18)
Mauritania 32.8% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.07% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.74% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 33.26% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 42.64% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 57.36% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 21.95% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 78.05% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 11.63% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 88.37% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Benin 32.4%
Draw 51.64%
Mauritania 15.96%

Team To Score First

Benin 56.39% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 11.06% ▼ (-0.23)
Mauritania 32.55% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 23.14%
Equal 8 9.19%
Under 8 67.68%
Over 9 16.2%
Equal 9 6.93%
Under 9 76.86%
Over 10.5 11.29%
Under 10.5 88.71%

Benin Goals

Over 1.5 33.45% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 66.55% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 13.52% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 86.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 4.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.69% ▼ (-0.08)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 63.71% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 36.29% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 29.44% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 70.56% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 2.5 10.97% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 89.03% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 3.19% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.81% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Benin 38.25%
Draw 28.95%
Mauritania 32.8%
Benin
1-0 @ 11.73% ▼ (-0.22)
2-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 38.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 11.06% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.95%
Mauritania
0-1 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 32.8%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 18, 2019 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Steve Mounie 42' goal
  • Steve Mounie 61' goal
  • Steve Mounie 81' goal
  • goal Moctar El Hacen 47'