Australian A-League
Gameweek
28
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-
Florin Berenguer
58'
-
Adam Zimarino
85'
-
Matt Acton
90'+3'
-
Matt Acton
90'+3'
-
Alex Rufer
60'
-
Lukas Kelly-Heald
80'
-
Sam Sutton
85'
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result
Brisbane Roar
42.57%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
23.33%
▲
(+0.34)
Wellington Phoenix
34.1%
▼
(-0.54)
Both Teams to Score:
63.41%
▼
(-1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.89%
▼
(-1.82)
Under 2.5
38.1%
▲
(+1.81)
Over 3.5
39.62%
▼
(-1.96)
Under 3.5
60.37%
▲
(+1.95)
Over 4.5
21.84%
▼
(-1.59)
Under 4.5
78.16%
▲
(+1.58)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5
81.66%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 0.5
18.33%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
50.56%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 1.5
49.43%
▲
(+1.12)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5
77.64%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 0.5
22.35%
▲
(+1.13)
Over 1.5
44.15%
▼
(-1.72)
Under 1.5
55.84%
▲
(+1.71)
Score analysis
Brisbane Roar
42.57%
Draw
23.32%
Wellington Phoenix
34.1%
Brisbane Roar
2-1
@
8.84%
▲
(+0.11)
1-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.45)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 42.57%
1-0 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.45)
2-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 42.57%
Draw
1-1
@
10.41%
▲
(+0.34)
2-2 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.32%
2-2 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.32%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
@
7.8%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.1%
0-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.33)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.1%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
18
-
17'
-
Paulo Retre
51'
-
Paulo Retre
51'
-
Isaac Hughes
61'
-
Isaac Hughes
61'
-
Hosine Bility
25'
-
Hosine Bility
25'
-
Jay O'Shea
39'
-
Jay O'Shea
39'
-
Henry Hore
71'
-
Henry Hore
71'
-
Adam Zimarino
90'+5'
-
Adam Zimarino
90'+5'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
22
-
Bozhidar Kraev
2'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
2'
-
David Ball
43'
-
David Ball
43'
-
Alex Rufer
81'
-
Alex Rufer
81'
-
Henry Hore
73'
-
Henry Hore
73'
-
Tom Aldred
90'+5'
-
Tom Aldred
90'+6'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
15
-
James Nikolovski
59'
-
Louis Zabala
90'+1'
-
Corey Brown
90'+4'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
51'
-
Nicholas Pennington
64'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
89'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
3
-
Tim Payne
24'
-
Tim Payne
24'
-
Oskar Zawada
32'
-
Oskar Zawada
32'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
33'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
33'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
58'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
58'
-
Oskar Zawada
63'
-
Oskar Zawada
63'
-
Oskar Zawada
80'
-
Oskar Zawada
80'
-
Oskar Zawada
90'+2'
-
Oskar Zawada
90'+2'
-
Florin Berenguer
1'
-
Florin Berenguer
1'
-
Nikola Mileusnic
53'
-
Nikola Mileusnic
53'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
24
-
Oskar Zawada
35'
-
Yan Sasse
56'
-
Jay O'Shea
8'
-
Scott Neville
82'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
-
Oskar Zawada
65'