Australian A-League | Gameweek 28

Apr 26, 2025 at 6am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Wellington

Berenguer (58')
Zimarino (85'), Acton (90+3'), Acton (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rufer (60'), Kelly-Heald (80'), Sutton (85')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United
Tuesday, April 22 at 10am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Wellington
Friday, April 18 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
42.57% ( 0.2)	23.33% ( 0.33)	34.1% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 63.41% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.89% (

-1.81)

38.1% (

1.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.62% (

-1.95)

60.37% (

1.95)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.66% (

-0.66)

18.33% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.56% (

-1.12)

49.43% (

1.12)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

-1.13)

22.35% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.15% (

-1.71)

55.84% (

1.71)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 42.57%

Wellington Phoenix 34.1%

Draw 23.32%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.1%