Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Adelaide United
Nov 8, 2026 6.00am
Coopers Stadium
Victory

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 8.00am
Perth Glory 4 - 0 Adelaide United
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Brody Burkitt

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 4.00am
Victory 1 - 1 Central Coast
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Charles Nduka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 35.09% and a draw has a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Adelaide United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).

Result

Adelaide United 40.77% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 24.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Melbourne Victory 35.09% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.02% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.55% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.52% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 62.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 22.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.73% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Adelaide United 32.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 37.89% ▼ (-0.09)
Melbourne Victory 29.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Adelaide United 48.88% ▼ (-0.17)
No Goal 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Melbourne Victory 46.46% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 72.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 18.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 61.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 10.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 27.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 49% ▲ (+0.07)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 1.5 45.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 54.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 21.21% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 78.79% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 7.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.09% ▲ (+0.03)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 71.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 28.23% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 40.83% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 59.17% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 17.61% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.75% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Adelaide United 40.78%
Draw 24.18%
Melbourne Victory 35.09%
Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 40.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.18%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 35.09%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Victory
Feb 27, 2026 8.35am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Adelaide United
  • Keegan Jelacic 26' goal
  • Xavier Stella 55' yellowcard
  • Nikos Vergos 66' yellowcard
  • Clarismario 66' yellowcard
  • Matthew Grimaldi 66' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 79' yellowcard
  • goal Yaya Dukuly 35'
  • yellowcard Luke Duzel 71'
  • yellowcard Brody Burkitt 77'
  • yellowcard Ben Folami 85'
  • yellowcard Panashe Madanha 86'
  • yellowcard Yaya Dukuly 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Adelaide United
Jan 17, 2026 8.35am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Coopers Stadium
Victory
  • Craig Goodwin 6' goal
  • Joey Garuccio 67' yellowcard
  • Joey Garuccio 68' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Juan Muniz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Panashe Madanha 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Juan Muñiz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Ryan Kitto 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 67'
  • yellowcard Matthew Grimaldi 67'
  • yellowcard Keegan Jelacic 67'
  • goal Matthew Grimaldi 75'
  • yellowcard Reno Piscopo 78'
  • yellowcard Xavier Stella 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Juan Mata 90'+3'
Australian A-League
Victory
Dec 13, 2025 8.35am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Adelaide United
  • Nikolaos Vergos 24' goal
  • Nikolaos Vergos 46' goal
  • Nikolaos Vergos 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Duzel 73'
  • goal Dylan Pierias 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Victory
Mar 29, 2025 8.35am
5
3
HT : 4 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Adelaide United
  • Daniel Arzani 29' goal
  • Daniel Arzani 29' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 39' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 39' goal
  • Daniel Arzani 71' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 78' yellowcard
  • Nikolaos Vergos 88' goal
  • Nikolaos Vergos 90' goal
  • Alexander Badolato 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Jonny Yull 12'
  • goal Jonny Yull 12'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 47'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 50'
  • goal Zach Clough 56'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Adelaide United
Jan 18, 2025 8.35am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Coopers Stadium
Victory
  • Stefan Mauk 31' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 45'+1' goal
  • Ben Folami 48' yellowcard
  • Ethan Alagich 71' goal
  • goal Ryan Teague 18'
  • goal Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 66'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Adelaide United
Mar 9, 2024 9.15am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Coopers Stadium
Victory
  • Nestory Irankunda 51' goal
  • Nick Ansell 55' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 33'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 57'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 87'
  • yellowcard Paul Izzo 90'+7'

Form Data

Perth Glory 4 - 0 Adelaide United
Sydney FC 2 - 1 Adelaide United
Adelaide United 0 - 2 Công An Nhân Dân
Adelaide United 0 - 3 Auckland FC
Auckland FC 1 - 1 Adelaide United
Melbourne City 1 - 2 Adelaide United
Victory 1 - 1 Central Coast
Victory 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Wellington 2 - 1 Victory
Victory 0 - 1 Sydney FC
Western Sydney 0 - 2 Victory
Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets