Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.