Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.