Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
Veritas Stadion

TPS vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 23, 2026 12.00pm
Inter Turku 2 - 1 TPS
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Theodoros Tsirigotis

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 22, 2026 5.00pm
VPS 2 - 1 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a TPS win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 33.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

TPS 39.84% (+0.61)
Draw 26.61% (-0.04)
Vaasan Palloseura 33.55% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.17% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 52.02% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 47.98% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 29.36% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.64% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.09%
Under 4.5 83.91%

First Half Winner

TPS 31.58% (+0.30)
Draw 40.35% (-0.11)
Vaasan Palloseura 28.07% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

TPS 48.92% (+0.20)
No Goal 6.69%
Vaasan Palloseura 44.39% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 64.88% (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.33% (+0.05)
Under 8 23.79% (+0.29)
Over 9 52.56% (-0.33)
Equal 9 12.32%
Under 9 35.12% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 40.43% (-0.32)
Under 10.5 59.57% (+0.32)

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 40.34% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 59.66% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 16.85% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 83.15% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 5.82% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.18% (-0.13)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 31.09% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 35.42% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 64.58% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 14.01% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 85.99% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 4.51% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.49% (+0.09)

Score analysis

TPS 39.86%
Draw 26.61%
Vaasan Palloseura 33.55%
TPS
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.31% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.53% (+0.11)
Total : 39.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.03)
Total : 26.61%
Vaasan Palloseura
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.22% (-0.13)
Total : 33.55%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Mar 14, 2026 3.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • 89' goal