Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Tobias Karkulowski 5' yellowcard
  • Matej Hradecky 70' yellowcard
  • Miika Kauppila 83' goal
  • Eetu Turkki 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 44'

TPS vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 23, 2026 12.00pm
Inter Turku 2 - 1 TPS
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 22, 2026 5.00pm
VPS 2 - 1 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

TPS 39.84% (+0.61)
Draw 26.61% (-0.04)
Vaasan Palloseura 33.55% (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.17% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 52.02% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 47.98% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 29.36% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.64% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.09%
Under 4.5 83.91%

First Half Winner

TPS 31.58% (+0.30)
Draw 40.35% (-0.11)
Vaasan Palloseura 28.07% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

TPS 48.92% (+0.20)
No Goal 6.69%
Vaasan Palloseura 44.39% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 64.88% (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.33% (+0.05)
Under 8 23.79% (+0.29)
Over 9 52.56% (-0.33)
Equal 9 12.32%
Under 9 35.12% (+0.33)
Over 10.5 40.43% (-0.32)
Under 10.5 59.57% (+0.32)

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 40.34% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 59.66% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 16.85% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 83.15% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 5.82% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.18% (-0.13)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 31.09% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 35.42% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 64.58% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 14.01% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 85.99% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 4.51% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.49% (+0.09)

Score analysis

TPS 39.86%
Draw 26.61%
Vaasan Palloseura 33.55%
TPS
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.26% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.31% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.53% (+0.11)
Total : 39.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.03)
Total : 26.61%
Vaasan Palloseura
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.22% (-0.13)
Total : 33.55%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Mar 14, 2026 3.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • 89' goal