Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Raatin stadion
  • Rasmus Karjalainen 59' goal
  • Santeri Silander 72' yellowcard
  • Juuso Mäkeläinen 72' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Koné 83' yellowcard
  • Alex Lietsa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlemagne Azongnitode 46'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Talo 46'
  • yellowcard Tomi Väkiparta 56'
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 68'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 80'

Oulu vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oulu

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
Ilves 1 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 1 - 0 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for TPS had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest TPS win was 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Oulu 45.15% (+0.01)
Draw 25.34% (-0.02)
TPS 29.55% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.56% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 20.71% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 56.98% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 43.02% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 34.01% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.99% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 19.76% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.24% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Oulu 35.52% (+0.02)
Draw 41.04% (-0.06)
TPS 23.43% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Oulu 54.85% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.69%
TPS 39.46% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.14% (+0.24)
Equal 8 10.48% (-0.02)
Under 8 22.37% (-0.22)
Over 9 55.61% (+0.23)
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.02)
Under 9 32.86% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 44.03% (+0.19)
Under 10.5 55.97% (-0.19)

Oulu Goals

Over 1.5 47.01% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.99% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.12% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.88% (-0.02)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 67.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.55% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.37% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Oulu 45.15%
Draw 25.35%
TPS 29.55%
Oulu
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 3.96% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.88% (+0.01)
Total : 45.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.35%
TPS
1-2 @ 7.27% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.39% (+0.02)
Total : 29.55%