Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for TPS had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest TPS win was 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.