Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Raatin stadion
  • Rasmus Karjalainen 59' goal
  • Santeri Silander 72' yellowcard
  • Juuso Mäkeläinen 72' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Koné 83' yellowcard
  • Alex Lietsa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlemagne Azongnitode 46'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Talo 46'
  • yellowcard Tomi Väkiparta 56'
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 68'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 80'

Oulu vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oulu

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
Ilves 1 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 1 - 0 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Theodoros Tsirigotis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oulu win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for TPS has a probability of 29.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest TPS win is 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Oulu 45.15% (+0.01)
Draw 25.34% (-0.02)
TPS 29.55% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.56% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 20.71% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 56.98% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 43.02% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 34.01% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.99% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 19.76% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 80.24% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Oulu 35.52% (+0.02)
Draw 41.04% (-0.06)
TPS 23.43% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Oulu 54.85% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.69%
TPS 39.46% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.14% (+0.24)
Equal 8 10.48% (-0.02)
Under 8 22.37% (-0.22)
Over 9 55.61% (+0.23)
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.02)
Under 9 32.86% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 44.03% (+0.19)
Under 10.5 55.97% (-0.19)

Oulu Goals

Over 1.5 47.01% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.99% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.12% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.88% (-0.02)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 67.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.55% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.37% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Oulu 45.15%
Draw 25.35%
TPS 29.55%
Oulu
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 3.96% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.88% (+0.01)
Total : 45.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.35%
TPS
1-2 @ 7.27% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.39% (+0.02)
Total : 29.55%