Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 26, 2026 1.00pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs Lahti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 20, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 1 - 3 Ilves
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Lahti

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 20, 2026 5.00pm
Mariehamn 0 - 2 Lahti
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Neemias Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lahti has a probability of 35.6% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Lahti win is 1-2 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Ilves 39.33% (+0.45)
Draw 25.07% (+0.11)
Lahti 35.6% (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.6% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.31% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.35% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 42.65% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 35.37% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 64.63% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 20.56% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 79.44% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Ilves 28.63% (+0.29)
Draw 41.87% (+0.01)
Lahti 29.5% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Ilves 46.02% (+0.82)
No Goal 5.31% (+0.02)
Lahti 48.67% (-0.83)

Corners

Over 8 49.52% (+0.68)
Equal 8 11.69% (+0.30)
Under 8 38.79% (-0.97)
Over 9 38.36% (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.16% (+0.34)
Under 9 50.48% (-0.68)
Over 10.5 28.53% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 71.47% (-0.02)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 43.17% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 56.83% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 18.88% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 81.12% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 6.67% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 93.33% (-0.08)

Lahti Goals

Over 0.5 71.56% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 28.44% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 40.08% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 59.92% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 17.17% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 82.83% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 6.02% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 93.98% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Ilves 39.33%
Draw 25.06%
Lahti 35.62%
Ilves
2-1 @ 8.55% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 7.87% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.83% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.44% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.99% (+0.08)
Other @ 6.45% (+0.07)
Total : 39.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 25.06%
Lahti
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.8% (-0.13)
Total : 35.62%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Lahden Stadion
  • A. Belabid 4' goal
  • A. Belabid 11' goal
  • Aaron Lindholm 17' goal
  • Aaron Lindholm 18' goal
  • Erik Andersson 52' goal
  • Daniel Heikkinen 70' goal
  • yellowcard Kalle Wallius 68'
  • yellowcard Tatu Miettunen 81'
  • yellowcard Otto Tiitinen 86'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Jun 29, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Lahden Kisapuisto
  • Luke Ivanovic 3' goal
  • Pablo Andrade 26' yellowcard
  • Mikko Viitikko 30' yellowcard
  • Eemeli Virta 35' yellowcard
  • Luke Ivanovic 48' yellowcard
  • Michael Lopez 83' goal
  • goal Maksim Stjopin 14'
  • goal Anton Popovits 31'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 65'
  • yellowcard Vincent Ulundu 83'
  • yellowcard Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 90'
  • yellowcard Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 90'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Joonas Rantanen 55' yellowcard
  • Anton Popovits 88' yellowcard
  • Anton Popovits 90'+3' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 90'+6' goal
  • Santeri Haarala 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Riku Selander 11'
  • yellowcard Samuel Pasanen 90'+6'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
Oct 21, 2023 1.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Vilho Huovila 20' goal
  • Akseli Puukko 45' yellowcard
  • Akseli Puukko 71' redcard
  • Loorents Hertsi 74' yellowcard
  • Anour El Moukhantir 85' yellowcard
  • goal Santeri Haarala 31'
  • goal Oiva Jukkola 41'
  • goal Santeri Haarala 44'
  • goal Djair Parfitt-Williams 72'
  • goal Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 86'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Anour El Moukhantir 58' goal
  • Bubacar Djalo 63' goal
  • Anour El Moukhantir 67' goal
  • Irfan Sadik 86' yellowcard
  • goal Djair Parfitt-Williams 14'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 61'
  • yellowcard Seydine N'Diaye 61'
  • goal Mery Traore 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 3, 2023 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Tatu Miettunen 11' goal
  • Adam Larsson 42' goal
  • goal Matheus Alves 54'
  • goal Juho Pirttijoki 62'