Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 20, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • N. Nurmi 52' yellowcard
  • J. Svedberg 84' yellowcard
  • goal Yohan Cassubie 22'
  • goal Neemias Barbosa 55'

IFK Mariehamn vs Lahti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Gnistan 4 - 2 Mariehamn
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Lahti

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Lahti 2 - 0 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Neemias Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lahti win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw has a probability of 19.94% and a win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 14.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.96%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it is 1-0 (4.69%).

Result

IFK Mariehamn 14.5% (-0.34)
Draw 19.94% (+0.40)
Lahti 65.56% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.68% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 21.32% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 55.8% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 44.2% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 34.16% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 65.84% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 21.43% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 78.57% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 15.43% (+0.08)
Draw 40.76% (+0.29)
Lahti 43.8% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 27.83% (-0.87)
No Goal 5.47% (+0.13)
Lahti 66.7% (+0.74)

Corners

Over 8 62.9% (-0.90)
Equal 8 11.04% (+0.11)
Under 8 26.06% (+0.78)
Over 9 51.2% (-0.91)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.1% (+0.90)
Over 10.5 39.85% (-0.83)
Under 10.5 60.15% (+0.83)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 18.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 81.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.1% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 94.9% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 1.37% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.63% (-0.03)

Lahti Goals

Over 0.5 86.44% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 13.56% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 61.23% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 38.77% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 33.84% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 66.16% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 14.55% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 85.45% (+0.05)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 14.5%
Draw 19.94%
Lahti 65.58%
IFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 4.69% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 2.08%
3-1 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.23% (-0.04)
Total : 14.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.47% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.47% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.06)
Total : 19.94%
Lahti
0-2 @ 11.82% (+0.16)
0-1 @ 11.18% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 8.09% (-0.48)
1-3 @ 6.87% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 3.43% (+0.13)
Other @ 14.41% (-0.09)
Total : 65.58%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 10, 2026 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Martim Ferreira 20' goal
  • Daniel Heikkinen 67' yellowcard
  • Otso Koskinen 74' yellowcard
  • Joel Lehtonen 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard L. Andersson 45'
  • yellowcard Nikolaos Dosis 46'
  • yellowcard S. Dahlström 71'
  • yellowcard J. van der Heyden 78'
  • yellowcard Luke Pearce 78'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard A. Soiniemi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard A. Soiniemi 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Sep 19, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Samuel Pasanen 8' goal
  • Felix Strauss 13' goal
  • Felix Strauss 55' yellowcard
  • Otso Koskinen 90' yellowcard
  • Dylan Fox 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dahlstrom 26'
  • yellowcard Robin Sid 75'
  • goal Robin Sid 89'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Pedro Machado 13' yellowcard
  • Jiri Nissinen 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 42'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Lahden Kisapuisto
  • Otso Koskinen 4' goal
  • Colin Odutayo 41' goal
  • Riku Selander 49' yellowcard
  • Julius Tauriainen 60' goal
  • Samuel Pasanen 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Enqvist 52'
  • yellowcard Eero-Matti Auvinen 59'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cardoso 69'
  • yellowcard Patrik Raitanen 70'
  • redcard Patrik Raitanen 80'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Elmo Henriksson 21' redcard
  • Timi Lahti 27' yellowcard
  • Alan Henrique 38' yellowcard
  • Jiri Nissinen 45'+2' redcard
  • Aly Ndom 84' yellowcard
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 23, 2023 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Bubacar Djalo 21' yellowcard
  • Teemu Penninkangas 68' yellowcard
  • Mikko Kuningas 75' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Ngamba 32'
  • goal Luka Simunovic 90' (OG)