Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm
Lahti 1 - 0 Gnistan
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 4.00pm
VPS 4 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gnistan win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw has a probability of 24.04% and a win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win is 2-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it is 1-2 (5.99%).

Result

Gnistan 53.24% (+0.07)
Draw 24.04% (-0.07)
IFK Mariehamn 22.67% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.18% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.15% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 65.86% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.25% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.75% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 38.21%
Draw 40.55%
IFK Mariehamn 21.24%

Team To Score First

Gnistan 56.48% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.45% (-0.04)
IFK Mariehamn 38.07% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.88%
Equal 8 10.87%
Under 8 26.25%
Over 9 51.35% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 37.12%
Over 10.5 40.13% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 59.87% (-0.02)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 52.89% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 47.11% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 26.48% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 73.52% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 11.22% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 88.78% (-0.05)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 60.44% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 39.56% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 27.59% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.41% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gnistan 53.24%
Draw 24.03%
IFK Mariehamn 22.67%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 10%
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.03% (+0.06)
Total : 53.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.03%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.67%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 13, 2026 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • K. Lund 59' yellowcard
  • S. Dahlström 59' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lundin 59' yellowcard
  • S. Dahlström 62' yellowcard
  • K. Lund 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lundin 62' yellowcard
  • Yeboah Amankwah 90'+2' yellowcard
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo Costa 13'
  • goal J. Latonen 28'
  • goal Danny Pérez 65'
  • yellowcard A. Atarah 90'
  • yellowcard A. Atarah 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 9, 2025 5.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 3, 2025 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 3' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 6' goal
  • Joakim Latonen 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pontus Lindgren 35'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 28' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 46' goal
  • Saku Heiskanen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Patut 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Andersson 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Oliver Pettersson 45' yellowcard
  • Saku Heiskanen 47' goal
  • Armend Kabashi 59' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 85' goal
  • goal Michael Fonsell 7'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cardoso 36'
  • yellowcard Eero-Matti Auvinen 90'+3'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 16' goal
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 21' yellowcard
  • Michael Fonsell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 4'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Olander 50'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 55'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 67'