Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • S. Ylätupa 6' goal
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 51' goal
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 71' goal
  • Danny Pérez 90'+4' goal
  • goal Adam Stroud 53'
  • goal W. Nuñez 79'
  • yellowcard Tuomas Koivisto 90'+1'

Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm
Lahti 1 - 0 Gnistan
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 4.00pm
VPS 4 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.04% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (5.99%).

Result

Gnistan 53.24% (+0.07)
Draw 24.04% (-0.07)
IFK Mariehamn 22.67% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.18% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.15% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 65.86% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.25% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.75% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 38.21%
Draw 40.55%
IFK Mariehamn 21.24%

Team To Score First

Gnistan 56.48% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.45% (-0.04)
IFK Mariehamn 38.07% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.88%
Equal 8 10.87%
Under 8 26.25%
Over 9 51.35% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 37.12%
Over 10.5 40.13% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 59.87% (-0.02)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 52.89% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 47.11% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 26.48% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 73.52% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 11.22% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 88.78% (-0.05)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 60.44% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 39.56% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 27.59% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.41% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.5% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gnistan 53.24%
Draw 24.03%
IFK Mariehamn 22.67%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 10%
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 3.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.03% (+0.06)
Total : 53.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 24.03%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.67%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 13, 2026 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • K. Lund 59' yellowcard
  • S. Dahlström 59' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lundin 59' yellowcard
  • S. Dahlström 62' yellowcard
  • K. Lund 62' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lundin 62' yellowcard
  • Yeboah Amankwah 90'+2' yellowcard
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Marcelo Costa 13'
  • goal J. Latonen 28'
  • goal Danny Pérez 65'
  • yellowcard A. Atarah 90'
  • yellowcard A. Atarah 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 9, 2025 5.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 3, 2025 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 3' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 6' goal
  • Joakim Latonen 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pontus Lindgren 35'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 28' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 46' goal
  • Saku Heiskanen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Patut 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Andersson 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Oliver Pettersson 45' yellowcard
  • Saku Heiskanen 47' goal
  • Armend Kabashi 59' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 85' goal
  • goal Michael Fonsell 7'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cardoso 36'
  • yellowcard Eero-Matti Auvinen 90'+3'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 16' goal
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 21' yellowcard
  • Michael Fonsell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 4'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Olander 50'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 55'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 67'