Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2026 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Luka Smyth 3' goal
  • Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi 32' goal
  • Olavi Keturi 75' goal
  • A. Kuek 90' goal

Vaasan Palloseura vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 5.00pm
Gnistan 1 - 1 VPS
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Simon Lindholm

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 3.00pm
Mariehamn 0 - 2 Inter Turku
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.62% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (5.2%).

Result

Vaasan Palloseura 58.23% (+0.05)
Draw 22.62% (-0.10)
IFK Mariehamn 19.1% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.76% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.24% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 18.76% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 60.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.75% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.63% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.37% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.28% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 76.72% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Vaasan Palloseura 46.12% (-0.29)
Draw 36.75% (+0.10)
IFK Mariehamn 17.12% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Vaasan Palloseura 62.51% (+0.20)
No Goal 4.95% (-0.05)
IFK Mariehamn 32.54% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 69.1% (+0.56)
Equal 8 10.04% (-0.04)
Under 8 20.86% (-0.54)
Over 9 57.86% (+0.54)
Equal 9 11.24% (+0.03)
Under 9 30.9% (-0.57)
Over 10.5 46.37% (+0.45)
Under 10.5 53.63% (-0.45)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 1.5 58.68% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.32% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 31.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 68.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.23% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 85.77% (+0.04)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 57.19% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 42.81% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 25.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.64% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.36% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.47% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.53% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 58.23%
Draw 22.63%
IFK Mariehamn 19.1%
Vaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 10.44% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.06)
Other @ 13.94% (-0.03)
Total : 58.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 22.63%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.54% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.18% (+0.03)
Total : 19.1%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • A. Lundberg 46' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 68' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Koivisto 68' yellowcard
  • S. Ngulube 76' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Lima 22'
  • yellowcard Jabir Ali 65'
  • yellowcard Yassin Daoussi 78'
  • yellowcard Olavi Keturi 78'
  • yellowcard A. Kuek 89'
  • yellowcard Joonas Vahtera 90'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 18
Aug 1, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 14, 2025 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pontus Lindgren 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Enqvist 43' yellowcard
  • Chukwuemeka Emmanuel Okereke 72' goal
  • goal Olli Jakonen 6'
  • goal Maissa Fall 54'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 54'
  • goal Olli Jakonen 57'
  • goal Prosper Ahiabu 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yassine El Ouatki 75'
  • goal Maissa Fall 80'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kaarlen kentta
  • Teemu Hytonen 44' goal
  • Pedro Machado 51' goal
  • goal Daniel Enqvist 79'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 12, 2024 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesper Engstrom 45'
  • yellowcard Samu Alanko 78'