Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2026 4.00pm
Hietalahden jalkapallostadion

Vaasan Palloseura vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 5.00pm
Gnistan 1 - 1 VPS
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 3.00pm
Mariehamn 0 - 2 Inter Turku
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw has a probability of 22.62% and a win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it is 1-2 (5.2%).

Result

Vaasan Palloseura 58.23% (+0.05)
Draw 22.62% (-0.10)
IFK Mariehamn 19.1% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.76% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.24% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 18.76% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 60.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.75% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.63% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.37% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.28% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 76.72% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Vaasan Palloseura 46.12% (-0.29)
Draw 36.75% (+0.10)
IFK Mariehamn 17.12% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Vaasan Palloseura 62.51% (+0.20)
No Goal 4.95% (-0.05)
IFK Mariehamn 32.54% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 69.1% (+0.56)
Equal 8 10.04% (-0.04)
Under 8 20.86% (-0.54)
Over 9 57.86% (+0.54)
Equal 9 11.24% (+0.03)
Under 9 30.9% (-0.57)
Over 10.5 46.37% (+0.45)
Under 10.5 53.63% (-0.45)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 1.5 58.68% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.32% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 31.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 68.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.23% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 85.77% (+0.04)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 57.19% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 42.81% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 25.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.64% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.36% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.47% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.53% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 58.23%
Draw 22.63%
IFK Mariehamn 19.1%
Vaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 10.44% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.43% (+0.06)
Other @ 13.94% (-0.03)
Total : 58.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 22.63%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.54% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.18% (+0.03)
Total : 19.1%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • A. Lundberg 46' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 68' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Koivisto 68' yellowcard
  • S. Ngulube 76' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Lima 22'
  • yellowcard Jabir Ali 65'
  • yellowcard Yassin Daoussi 78'
  • yellowcard Olavi Keturi 78'
  • yellowcard A. Kuek 89'
  • yellowcard Joonas Vahtera 90'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 18
Aug 1, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 14, 2025 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pontus Lindgren 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Enqvist 43' yellowcard
  • Chukwuemeka Emmanuel Okereke 72' goal
  • goal Olli Jakonen 6'
  • goal Maissa Fall 54'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 54'
  • goal Olli Jakonen 57'
  • goal Prosper Ahiabu 66' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yassine El Ouatki 75'
  • goal Maissa Fall 80'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kaarlen kentta
  • Teemu Hytonen 44' goal
  • Pedro Machado 51' goal
  • goal Daniel Enqvist 79'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 12, 2024 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesper Engstrom 45'
  • yellowcard Samu Alanko 78'