Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 18, 2026 10.59am
Raatin stadion

Oulu vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oulu

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 1.00pm
Inter Turku 0 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 5.00pm
Mariehamn 0 - 3 Gnistan
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oulu win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw has a probability of 21.21% and a win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.07%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it is 0-1 (5.14%).

Result

Oulu 62.41% (-0.37)
Draw 21.21% (+0.18)
IFK Mariehamn 16.38% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.19% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 22.81% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.08% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.92% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.43% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 68.52% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 19.44% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.56% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Oulu 46.2% (+0.36)
Draw 37.87% (-0.65)
IFK Mariehamn 15.93% (+0.29)

Team To Score First

Oulu 64.25% (+0.05)
No Goal 5.78%
IFK Mariehamn 29.97% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.54%
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 21.76%
Over 9 55.66%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 32.46%
Over 10.5 43.68%
Under 10.5 56.31%

Oulu Goals

Over 1.5 57.23% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 42.77% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 29.9% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 70.1% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 12.97% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 87.03% (+0.13)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 51.64% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 48.36% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 19.67% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 80.33% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 5.38% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 94.62% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 1.29% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.71% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Oulu 62.41%
Draw 21.21%
IFK Mariehamn 16.39%
Oulu
1-0 @ 11.9% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.77% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 10.62% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.14% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 12.96% (-0.12)
Total : 62.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.07% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.78%
2-2 @ 4.58% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.21%
IFK Mariehamn
0-1 @ 5.14% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.39% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.26% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.28% (+0.05)
Total : 16.39%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 26, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
May 17, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Raatin stadion
  • Miika Koskela 70' yellowcard
  • Abu Dumbuya 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eemil Toivonen 43'
  • goal Sebastian Dahlstrom 56'
  • yellowcard Michael Fonsell 90'+3'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
Oct 19, 2024 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Raatin stadion
  • Daniel Barrow 19' yellowcard
  • Ashley Coffey 38' goal
  • goal Adam Larsson 28'
  • goal Adam Larsson 70'
  • yellowcard Matias Ojala 90'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 1, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Robin Sid 24' yellowcard
  • Mamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo 43' yellowcard
  • Adam Larsson 47' goal
  • Adam Larsson 53' goal
  • Hugo Cardoso 81' yellowcard
  • Mamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Samuli Holtta 20'
  • goal Samuli Holtta 28'
  • yellowcard Niklas Jokelainen 79'
  • yellowcard Marcos Andre 88'
  • yellowcard Aleksi Paananen 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
May 17, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Raatin stadion
  • Ashley Coffey 24' goal
  • Jere Kallinen 68' yellowcard
  • Samuli Holtta 87' yellowcard
  • Jake Dunwoody 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Muhamed Tehe Olawale 45'
  • yellowcard Michael Fonsell 70'
  • yellowcard Matias Ojala 74'
  • goal Hugo Cardoso 78'