Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 13, 2026 5.00pm
Wiklöf Holding Arena

IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 30, 2026 1.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
Gnistan 3 - 2 SJK
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gnistan win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for IFK Mariehamn has a probability of 34.9% and a draw has a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win is 1-0 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).

Result

IFK Mariehamn 34.9% (-0.01)
Draw 25.15% (-0.03)
Gnistan 39.94% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.99% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.88% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.14% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 46.86% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 30.65% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.35% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.18% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.82% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

IFK Mariehamn 28.24% (+0.05)
Draw 41.93% (+0.04)
Gnistan 29.83% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

IFK Mariehamn 45.92% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.03)
Gnistan 47.95% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 66.05% (-0.19)
Equal 8 10.66% (+0.02)
Under 8 23.29% (+0.17)
Over 9 54.42% (-0.19)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.95% (+0.20)
Over 10.5 42.83% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 57.17% (+0.18)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 1.5 36.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.04% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.56% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.86%
Under 3.5 95.14%

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 73.02% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.98% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.64% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.36% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.06% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.94% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.69% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.31% (-0.02)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 34.91%
Draw 25.15%
Gnistan 39.94%
IFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.99% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 2.51%
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 34.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 25.15%
Gnistan
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 3.06%
Other @ 5.6% (+0.02)
Total : 39.94%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 9, 2025 5.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 3, 2025 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 3' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 6' goal
  • Joakim Latonen 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pontus Lindgren 35'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 28' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 46' goal
  • Saku Heiskanen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Patut 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Andersson 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Oliver Pettersson 45' yellowcard
  • Saku Heiskanen 47' goal
  • Armend Kabashi 59' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 85' goal
  • goal Michael Fonsell 7'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cardoso 36'
  • yellowcard Eero-Matti Auvinen 90'+3'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 16' goal
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 21' yellowcard
  • Michael Fonsell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 4'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Olander 50'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 55'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 67'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Oct 29, 2023 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 40' goal
  • Timi Lahti 49' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hopcutt 72' goal
  • Alvaro Ngamba 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Medo 48'
  • yellowcard Hannes Woivalin 51'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 54'
  • redcard Armend Kabashi 90'+4'