Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 20, 2026 4.00pm
Ilves 1 - 3 Inter Turku
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
Gnistan 5 - 0 Jaro
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 29.83% and a draw has a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.66%).

Result

Ilves 47.02% (-0.02)
Draw 23.15% (+0.03)
Gnistan 29.83% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.62% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 19.38% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 58.87% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41.13% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 36.34% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 63.66% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 21.7% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.3% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Ilves 37.35% (-0.08)
Draw 36.57% (+0.04)
Gnistan 26.09% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Ilves 53.15% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.71% (-0.01)
Gnistan 42.14% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.96% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 29.59% (+0.04)
Over 9 47.19% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 41.04% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 36.09% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 63.91% (+0.03)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 49.17% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.83% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 23.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.45% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.55% (-0.02)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 66.74% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 33.26% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 34.99% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 65.01% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 13.81% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.19% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.48% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.52% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Ilves 47.02%
Draw 23.15%
Gnistan 29.82%
Ilves
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.32% (+0.01)
Total : 47.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 23.15%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 7.2% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.35% (+0.03)
Total : 29.82%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Teemu Hytönen 11' goal
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 23, 2025 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 4, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Jun 1, 2025 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Yevgeni Bashkirov 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joona Veteli 82'
  • goal Oiva Jukkola 87'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 1, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Juhani Ojala 57' yellowcard
  • Saku Heiskanen 62' goal
  • Elias Aijala 71' yellowcard
  • Jukka Raitala 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oiva Jukkola 26'
  • yellowcard Juhani Pikkarainen 38'
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 43'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 78'
  • yellowcard Isaac Atanga 82'