Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm
Lahden Stadion

Lahti vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lahti

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 7.00pm
Oulu 1 - 1 Lahti
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Aaron Lindholm

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 5.00pm
Gnistan 1 - 1 VPS
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lahti win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw has a probability of 23.39% and a win for Gnistan has a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Gnistan win it is 1-2 (5.92%).

Result

Lahti 53.97%
Draw 23.39%
Gnistan 22.64% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.82% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 20.18% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.58%
Under 2.5 42.42%
Over 3.5 35.02%
Under 3.5 64.98%
Over 4.5 20.86% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.14% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lahti 42.49%
Draw 38.01% (-0.02)
Gnistan 19.5%

Team To Score First

Lahti 59.62%
No Goal 5.17%
Gnistan 35.21%

Corners

Over 8 65.51%
Equal 8 10.44%
Under 8 24.05%
Over 9 54.2%
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 34.49%
Over 10.5 42.95%
Under 10.5 57.05%

Lahti Goals

Over 1.5 54.07%
Under 1.5 45.93%
Over 2.5 27.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.16% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.84% (-0.01)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 60.67% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 39.33% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 28.24% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 71.76% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.68% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.32% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.72%
Under 3.5 97.28%

Score analysis

Lahti 53.96%
Draw 23.4%
Gnistan 22.62%
Lahti
2-1 @ 10.21%
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 11%
Total : 53.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 23.4%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.56% (-0.01)
Total : 22.62%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 17, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Ayo Obileye 51' goal
  • Marcelo Costa 79' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Costa 80' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 84' yellowcard
  • E. Arko-Mensah 84' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nícolas Gianini Dantas 2'
  • yellowcard A. Belabid 64'
  • yellowcard Tòfol Montiel 82'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2024 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 37' goal
  • Joakim Latonen 63' goal
  • goal Pablo Andrade 19' (OG)
  • goal Samuel Pasanen 46'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 12
Jun 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Lahden Kisapuisto
  • Otso Koskinen 4' yellowcard
  • Colin Odutayo 21' goal
  • Michael Lopez 51' goal
  • Luke Ivanovic 62' goal
  • Matias Vainionpaa 66' yellowcard
  • Eemeli Virta 69' yellowcard
  • goal Roope Pyyskanen 5'
  • goal Teemu Penninkangas 29'
  • goal Jonas Enkerud 90'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Jun 2, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Teemu Penninkangas 2' yellowcard
  • Roope Pyyskanen 16' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 31' goal
  • Roope Pyyskanen 34' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 64' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Oluwayemi 13'
  • yellowcard Mikko Viitikko 19'
  • goal Pablo Andrade 32'
  • yellowcard Mikko Viitikko 87'