Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 17, 2026 7.00pm
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan vs Lahti - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 5.00pm
Mariehamn 0 - 3 Gnistan
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Lahti

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 5.00pm
Lahti 2 - 3 SJK
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Aaron Lindholm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lahti win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 25.84% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 2-1 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).

Result

Gnistan 25.84% (+0.29)
Draw 24.8% (+0.45)
Lahti 49.42% (-0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.23% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.87% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 20.13% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 57.07% (-1.53)
Under 2.5 42.93% (+1.53)
Over 3.5 35.6% (-0.72)
Under 3.5 64.4% (+0.72)
Over 4.5 21.13% (-0.68)
Under 4.5 78.87% (+0.68)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 22.38% (-0.36)
Draw 41.16% (+1.50)
Lahti 36.45% (-1.16)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 39.73% (+0.71)
No Goal 5.3% (+0.18)
Lahti 54.97% (-0.90)

Corners

Over 8 62.23% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 26.82% (-0.04)
Over 9 50.68% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.55%
Under 9 37.77% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 39.5% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 60.5% (-0.03)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 31.33% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 68.67% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 11.43% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 88.57% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 3.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.47% (+0.02)

Lahti Goals

Over 0.5 80.24% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 19.76% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 51.07% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 48.93% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 25.32% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 74.68% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 10.46% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 89.54% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Gnistan 25.84%
Draw 24.8%
Lahti 49.42%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 6.1% (+0.32)
2-0 @ 3.73% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 2.75% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.37% (+0.06)
Total : 25.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (+0.41)
2-2 @ 6.45% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.3% (+0.18)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.06)
Total : 24.8%
Lahti
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.36)
0-1 @ 8.79% (+0.39)
0-2 @ 7.68% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 4.6% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.22)
Other @ 10.3% (-0.32)
Total : 49.42%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2024 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 37' goal
  • Joakim Latonen 63' goal
  • goal Pablo Andrade 19' (OG)
  • goal Samuel Pasanen 46'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 12
Jun 19, 2024 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Lahden Kisapuisto
  • Otso Koskinen 4' yellowcard
  • Colin Odutayo 21' goal
  • Michael Lopez 51' goal
  • Luke Ivanovic 62' goal
  • Matias Vainionpaa 66' yellowcard
  • Eemeli Virta 69' yellowcard
  • goal Roope Pyyskanen 5'
  • goal Teemu Penninkangas 29'
  • goal Jonas Enkerud 90'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Jun 2, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Teemu Penninkangas 2' yellowcard
  • Roope Pyyskanen 16' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 31' goal
  • Roope Pyyskanen 34' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 64' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Oluwayemi 13'
  • yellowcard Mikko Viitikko 19'
  • goal Pablo Andrade 32'
  • yellowcard Mikko Viitikko 87'