Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 12
Jun 23, 2026 5.00pm
Jakobstads Centralplan

Jaro vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 17, 2026 4.00pm
Ilves 5 - 0 Jaro
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 17, 2026 7.00pm
Gnistan 1 - 0 Lahti
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jaro win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 37.5% and a draw has a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jaro win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 1-2 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.77%).

Result

Jaro 37.57% (+0.10)
Draw 24.94%
Gnistan 37.5% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.39% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.06% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.94% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 57.95% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 42.05% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 36.43%
Under 3.5 63.57%
Over 4.5 21.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.8% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Jaro 32.2% (+0.10)
Draw 37.16% (-0.09)
Gnistan 30.64%

Team To Score First

Jaro 46.15% (+0.11)
No Goal 5.17% (-0.01)
Gnistan 48.68% (-0.10)

Corners

Over 8 62.74% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.62% (-0.02)
Under 8 26.64% (+0.02)
Over 9 51.49% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.26% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 40.53%
Under 10.5 59.47%

Jaro Goals

Over 1.5 42.2% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 57.8% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 18.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 81.96% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.31% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.69% (-0.02)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 72.83%
Under 0.5 27.17%
Over 1.5 42.65% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.35% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 18.63% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 81.37% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.88% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.12% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Jaro 37.56%
Draw 24.94%
Gnistan 37.5%
Jaro
2-1 @ 8.13% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.61% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.08% (+0.03)
Total : 37.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.94%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8%
Other @ 6.65% (-0.01)
Total : 37.5%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 43' goal
  • Michael Ogungbaro 49' goal
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 54' goal
  • P. Gnanou 61' goal
  • Danny Pérez 62' yellowcard
  • Sergey Eremenko 67' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 71' yellowcard
  • A. Atarah 71' yellowcard
  • J. Latonen 88' goal
  • yellowcard Rudi Vikström 19'
  • yellowcard Oliver Isak Ferial Kass Kawo 55'
  • yellowcard Joas Vikström 55'
  • yellowcard Oliver Isak Ferial Kass Kawo 56'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Aron Bjonbäck 70'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 24, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • Kerfala Cissoko 1' goal
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 30'
  • goal Didrik Hafstad 42'
  • yellowcard Joakim Latonen 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Onni Vilho Europaeus 75'