Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 17, 2026 4.00pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs Jaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 1.00pm
Ilves 1 - 0 TPS
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 13, 2026 3.00pm
Jaro 2 - 5 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw has a probability of 22.43% and a win for Jaro has a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.05%) , while for a Jaro win it is 1-2 (5.96%).

Result

Ilves 55.88% (-0.08)
Draw 22.43% (+0.27)
Jaro 21.69% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.66% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 18.34% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 60.71% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 39.29% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 37.27% (-0.73)
Under 3.5 62.68% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 23.15% (-0.46)
Under 4.5 76.85% (+0.45)

First Half Winner

Ilves 42.51% (+0.43)
Draw 36.05% (-0.39)
Jaro 21.44% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Ilves 61.05% (+0.61)
No Goal 4.79% (+0.17)
Jaro 34.16% (-0.78)

Corners

Over 8 57.62%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 30.72%
Over 9 45.75%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 42.38%
Over 10.5 34.68%
Under 10.5 65.32%

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 56.77% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 43.23% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 29.89% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 70.11% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 13.34% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 86.66% (+0.12)

Jaro Goals

Over 0.5 59.64% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 40.36% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 28.15% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 71.85% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 9.98% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 90.02% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 2.96% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.04% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Ilves 55.88%
Draw 22.43%
Jaro 21.69%
Ilves
2-1 @ 10.67% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 8.87% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 5.5% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.08)
Other @ 13.06% (-0.11)
Total : 55.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 4.79% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.28% (-0.01)
Total : 22.43%
Jaro
1-2 @ 5.96% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.68% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.68% (-0.15)
Total : 21.69%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 20, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Teemu Hytonen 15' goal
  • Matias Rale 23' goal
  • Aapo Maenpaa 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Ogungbaro 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Erik Gunnarsson 76'
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 81'
  • yellowcard Robin Polley 90'