Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 13, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Yiandro Raap 54' yellowcard
  • Jardell Kanga 78' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 3'
  • yellowcard S. Anini 72'
  • yellowcard Oscar Häggström 76'

Ilves vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
Lahti 5 - 0 Ilves
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
TPS 1 - 0 VPS
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 55.19%. A win for TPS had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest TPS win was 1-2 (5.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Ilves 55.19%
Draw 22.26% (-0.05)
TPS 22.49% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.75% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.46% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 18.54% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 60.36% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 39.64% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 37.6% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 62.4% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 23.39% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 76.61% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Ilves 41.94% (-0.02)
Draw 36.76% (+0.06)
TPS 21.31% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Ilves 60.32% (+0.22)
No Goal 4.58% (-0.05)
TPS 35.1% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 58.98% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.65% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.36% (-0.09)
Over 9 46.98% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12%
Under 9 41.02% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 35.68% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 64.32% (-0.08)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 56.01% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 43.99% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 29.67% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 70.33% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 13.17% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 86.83% (-0.11)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 60.31% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 39.69% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 28.58%
Under 1.5 71.42%
Over 2.5 9.95% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.05% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.06%
Under 3.5 96.94%

Score analysis

Ilves 55.2%
Draw 22.26%
TPS 22.5%
Ilves
2-1 @ 10.21%
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.28% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.06% (+0.10)
Total : 55.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.01% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 22.26%
TPS
1-2 @ 5.94% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.95% (-0.01)
Total : 22.5%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Sep 27, 2020 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jair 30' goal
  • Felipe Aspegren 41' yellowcard
  • Naatan Skytta 45' goal
  • Mika Hilander 60' yellowcard
  • Joona Veteli 78' goal
  • Tatu Miettunen 85' yellowcard
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos de Brito 68'
  • yellowcard Sami Rahmonen 83'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
Jul 7, 2020 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oskari Jakonen 62' yellowcard
  • Masahudu Alhassan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tatu Miettunen 3'
  • redcard Tatu Miettunen 25'
  • goal Ilari Mettala 69'