Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 13, 2026 1.00pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
Lahti 5 - 0 Ilves
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
TPS 1 - 0 VPS
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Theodoros Tsirigotis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 55.19%. A win for TPS has a probability of 22.56% and a draw has a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest TPS win is 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.29%).

Result

Ilves 55.19% (+0.26)
Draw 22.31% (-0.13)
TPS 22.56% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.9% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.4% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 18.6% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 60.2% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 39.8% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 37.54% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 62.46% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23.31% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 76.69% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Ilves 41.95% (+0.25)
Draw 36.7% (-0.10)
TPS 21.35% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Ilves 60.11% (+0.11)
No Goal 4.62% (-0.02)
TPS 35.27% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.9% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.66% (+0.03)
Under 8 29.44% (-0.12)
Over 9 46.9% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12% (+0.04)
Under 9 41.1% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 35.61% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.39% (-0.02)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 55.92% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 44.08% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 29.55% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 70.45% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 13.06% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 86.94% (-0.13)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 60.4% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 39.6% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 28.58% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 71.42% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.92% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 90.08% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.06% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.94% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ilves 55.2%
Draw 22.31%
TPS 22.55%
Ilves
2-1 @ 10.21% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.86% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.14% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.96% (+0.15)
Total : 55.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.02)
Total : 22.31%
TPS
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 22.55%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Sep 27, 2020 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jair 30' goal
  • Felipe Aspegren 41' yellowcard
  • Naatan Skytta 45' goal
  • Mika Hilander 60' yellowcard
  • Joona Veteli 78' goal
  • Tatu Miettunen 85' yellowcard
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos de Brito 68'
  • yellowcard Sami Rahmonen 83'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
Jul 7, 2020 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oskari Jakonen 62' yellowcard
  • Masahudu Alhassan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tatu Miettunen 3'
  • redcard Tatu Miettunen 25'
  • goal Ilari Mettala 69'