Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Lahden Stadion

Lahti vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lahti

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm
Lahti 1 - 0 Gnistan
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Aaron Lindholm

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 3.00pm
HJK Helsinki 0 - 4 KuPS
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Lahti has a probability of 30.75% and a draw has a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Lahti win is 2-1 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

Lahti 30.75% (-0.09)
Draw 25.56%
HJK Helsinki 43.69% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.42% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.74% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 19.26% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 58.77% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41.23% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.12% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.88% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 21.55% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 78.45% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lahti 27.32% (-0.02)
Draw 37.65% (+0.02)
HJK Helsinki 35.03%

Team To Score First

Lahti 41.53% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.13%
HJK Helsinki 53.34% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 63.89% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 25.18% (+0.11)
Over 9 52.18% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.71% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.11% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 40.71% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 59.29% (+0.08)

Lahti Goals

Over 1.5 36.96% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.04% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.15% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 84.85% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95% (+0.02)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 77.56% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.44% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 47.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 52.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 22.71% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.29% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.71% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.29% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lahti 30.75%
Draw 25.56%
HJK Helsinki 43.68%
Lahti
2-1 @ 7.61%
1-0 @ 6.29% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.6% (-0.03)
Total : 30.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.56%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 9.28% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.37% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.47%
Other @ 8.31% (+0.03)
Total : 43.68%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Alfie Cicale 24' goal
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 67' yellowcard
  • Mads Borchers 67' yellowcard
  • Toivo Mero 75' yellowcard
  • Toivo Mero 77' yellowcard
  • D. Ezeh 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Heikkinen 75'
  • yellowcard Otso Koskinen 75'
  • yellowcard Aaron Lindholm 79'
  • yellowcard A. Kabashi 88'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 18
Aug 3, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Lahden Kisapuisto
  • Michael Lopez 34' goal
  • Michael Lopez 56' goal
  • Benjamin Mulahalilovic 56' yellowcard
  • Michael Lopez 63' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Jordao Pinto Silva Cardoso 80' yellowcard
  • Asaad Babiker 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Otso Koskinen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Osku Maukonen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Pallas 6'
  • goal Lee Erwin 26'
  • yellowcard Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 53'
  • yellowcard Aapo Halme 59'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Apr 11, 2024 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Topi Keskinen 20' goal
  • Hans Nunoo Sarpei 43' yellowcard
  • Topi Keskinen 44' goal
  • Lucas Lingman 57' goal
  • Giorgos Kanellopoulos 61' yellowcard
  • Hassane Bande 69' goal
  • yellowcard Mikko Viitikko 34'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 8, 2023 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • goal Altin Zeqiri 33'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 7, 2023 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Lahden Stadion
  • Julius Tauriainen 3' goal
  • goal Bojan Radulovic 48'
  • goal Bojan Radulovic 74'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 17, 2022 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bojan Radulovic 50' goal
  • Perparim Hetemaj 56' goal
  • Murilo 74' yellowcard
  • Fabian Serrarens 88' goal
  • yellowcard Eemeli Virta 21'
  • goal Juho Pirttijoki 45'
  • yellowcard Martinos Christofi 53'
  • yellowcard Eduards Emsis 68'
  • goal Teemu Penninkangas 84'