Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm
Jakobstads Centralplan

Jaro vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 5.00pm
TPS 3 - 2 Jaro
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 12.00pm
Ilves 2 - 2 SJK
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Jaro has a probability of 35.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Jaro win is 2-1 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).

Result

Jaro 35.27% (+0.53)
Draw 25.32% (-0.15)
Ilves 39.4% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.1% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.17% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 17.83% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 60.93% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 39.07% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 37.8% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 62.2% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 22.6% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 77.4% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Jaro 29.84% (+0.38)
Draw 38.17% (-0.11)
Ilves 32% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Jaro 46.88% (+0.84)
No Goal 4.94% (-0.06)
Ilves 48.18% (-0.78)

Corners

Over 8 59.59% (+0.69)
Equal 8 10.99% (+0.06)
Under 8 29.42% (-0.72)
Over 9 48.24% (+0.59)
Equal 9 11.36% (+0.11)
Under 9 40.41% (-0.69)
Over 10.5 37.44% (+0.42)
Under 10.5 62.56% (-0.42)

Jaro Goals

Over 1.5 41.31% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 58.69% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 17.88% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 82.12% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 6.59% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 93.41% (-0.19)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 74.86% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 25.14% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 45.19% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 54.81% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 21.04% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 78.96% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 7.96% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 92.04% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Jaro 35.26%
Draw 25.32%
Ilves 39.4%
Jaro
2-1 @ 8.31% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.54%
2-0 @ 4.85% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.56% (+0.09)
Other @ 6.23% (+0.22)
Total : 35.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.03)
Total : 25.32%
Ilves
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.46% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 7.6% (-0.10)
Total : 39.4%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 17, 2026 4.00pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Jardell Kanga 4' goal
  • Teemu Hytönen 8' goal
  • Yiandro Raap 15' yellowcard
  • Teemu Hytönen 26' goal
  • Jardell Kanga 38' goal
  • Roope Riski 81' goal
  • yellowcard J. Skau 28'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 20, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Apr 12, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Teemu Hytonen 15' goal
  • Matias Rale 23' goal
  • Aapo Maenpaa 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Ogungbaro 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Erik Gunnarsson 76'
  • goal Kerfala Cissoko 81'
  • yellowcard Robin Polley 90'