Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 20, 2026 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Nikolas Talo 29' yellowcard
  • Matej Hradecky 42' goal
  • E. Vauhkonen 49' yellowcard
  • Kian Visser 57' yellowcard
  • Oscar Häggström 68' yellowcard
  • Oscar Häggström 73' redcard
  • yellowcard Ville Kumpu 14'
  • yellowcard Teemu Hytönen 32'
  • goal Teemu Hytönen 34'
  • goal O. Pettersson 45'
  • goal Teemu Hytönen 69'
  • yellowcard Sauli Väisänen 90'+2'

TPS vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
TPS 3 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm
Jaro 2 - 1 Ilves
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a TPS win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Ilves has a probability of 36.98% and a draw has a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Ilves win is 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.34%).

Result

TPS 39.41% (+0.22)
Draw 23.61% (+0.01)
Ilves 36.98% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.95% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.05% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 61.55% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.27% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 61.73% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 22.96% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 77.04% (+0.38)

First Half Winner

TPS 29.52% (-0.45)
Draw 37.85% (-0.75)
Ilves 32.62% (+1.17)

Team To Score First

TPS 46.81% (-0.47)
No Goal 4.55% (-0.08)
Ilves 48.64% (+0.54)

Corners

Over 8 64.77% (-0.75)
Equal 8 10.54% (-0.21)
Under 8 24.69% (+0.95)
Over 9 53.42% (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.35% (-0.33)
Under 9 35.23% (+0.75)
Over 10.5 42.21% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 57.79% (+0.08)

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 44.6% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.4% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 20.43% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.57% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 7.82% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.18% (+0.04)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 72.65% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.35% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 42.48% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 57.52% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 19.23% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 80.77% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 6.95% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 93.05% (+0.24)

Score analysis

TPS 39.41%
Draw 23.6%
Ilves 36.98%
TPS
2-1 @ 8.91% (+0.18)
1-0 @ 6.98% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.15% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.5% (+0.02)
Total : 39.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.64% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.32% (-0.05)
Total : 23.6%
Ilves
1-2 @ 8.4% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.51% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.82% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.63% (-0.20)
Total : 36.98%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 13, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Yiandro Raap 54' yellowcard
  • Jardell Kanga 78' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 3'
  • yellowcard S. Anini 72'
  • yellowcard Oscar Häggström 76'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Sep 27, 2020 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jair 30' goal
  • Felipe Aspegren 41' yellowcard
  • Naatan Skytta 45' goal
  • Mika Hilander 60' yellowcard
  • Joona Veteli 78' goal
  • Tatu Miettunen 85' yellowcard
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos de Brito 68'
  • yellowcard Sami Rahmonen 83'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
Jul 7, 2020 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oskari Jakonen 62' yellowcard
  • Masahudu Alhassan 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tatu Miettunen 3'
  • redcard Tatu Miettunen 25'
  • goal Ilari Mettala 69'