Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Veritas Stadion

TPS vs Oulu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm
SJK 3 - 1 TPS
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Oulu

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 7.00pm
Oulu 1 - 1 Lahti
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a TPS win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Oulu has a probability of 31.59% and a draw has a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Oulu win is 1-2 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).

Result

TPS 43.47% (-0.07)
Draw 24.94% (+0.02)
Oulu 31.59% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.18% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.4% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.6% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 55.57% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 44.43% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 31.96% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 68.04% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.07% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.93% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

TPS 33.06% (-0.04)
Draw 40.04%
Oulu 26.9% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

TPS 51.33% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.72% (+0.02)
Oulu 42.95% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.07%
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 30.09%
Over 9 45.96%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 41.93%
Over 10.5 34.65%
Under 10.5 65.35%

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 44.5% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.5% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 19.81% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 80.19% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 7.26% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.74% (+0.05)

Oulu Goals

Over 0.5 67.98% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 32.02% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35%
Under 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 13.7%
Under 2.5 86.3%
Over 3.5 4.16% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.84% (+0.02)

Score analysis

TPS 43.48%
Draw 24.94%
Oulu 31.59%
TPS
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 7.13% (-0.05)
Total : 43.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.94%
Oulu
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.33% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.03% (-0.01)
Total : 31.59%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Raatin stadion
  • Rasmus Karjalainen 59' goal
  • Santeri Silander 72' yellowcard
  • Juuso Mäkeläinen 72' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Koné 83' yellowcard
  • Alex Lietsa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlemagne Azongnitode 46'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Talo 46'
  • yellowcard Tomi Väkiparta 56'
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 68'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 80'