Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 21' yellowcard
  • Yiandro Raap 57' goal
  • Jardell Kanga 68' goal
  • Yiandro Raap 68' redcard
  • Roope Riski 75' goal
  • Ville Kumpu 81' yellowcard
  • Jardell Kanga 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Sébastien Thill 45'
  • yellowcard Bruninho 69'
  • redcard Gustavo Vintecinco 69'
  • redcard Juan Bedouret 69'
  • yellowcard Pedro Resende 86'

Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 6.30pm
Differdange 0 - 0 Ilves

FC Differdange 03

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 6.30pm
Differdange 0 - 0 Ilves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest FC Differdange 03 win was 0-1 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Ilves 53.06% (+0.09)
Draw 23.15% (-0.03)
FC Differdange 03 23.79% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.57% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.37% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 22.63% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.04% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.96% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.66% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 20.7% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.3% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Ilves 32.24% (-0.01)
Draw 43.25% (+0.04)
FC Differdange 03 24.51% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Ilves 54.44% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.51% (+0.01)
FC Differdange 03 39.05% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.5% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 37.86% (-0.03)
Over 9 39.29% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.21%
Under 9 49.5% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 29.33% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 70.67% (-0.02)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 51.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.71% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 26.37% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.63% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.89% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 89.11% (-0.04)

FC Differdange 03 Goals

Over 0.5 58.29% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 41.71% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 27.39% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.61% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.62% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.38% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ilves 53.04%
Draw 23.15%
FC Differdange 03 23.81%
Ilves
1-0 @ 10.11% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 8.83% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24%
Other @ 10.69% (+0.03)
Total : 53.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.15%
FC Differdange 03
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.42% (-0.02)
Total : 23.81%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 8, 2026 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Bedouret 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Kilo 65'
  • yellowcard Matias Rale 85'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 90'