Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 5.00pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 6.30pm
Differdange 0 - 0 Ilves

FC Differdange 03

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 6.30pm
Differdange 0 - 0 Ilves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for FC Differdange 03 has a probability of 23.82% and a draw has a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest FC Differdange 03 win is 0-1 (6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.28%).

Result

Ilves 52.98% (+0.04)
Draw 23.17% (-0.03)
FC Differdange 03 23.82% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.35% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 22.65% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 55.06% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 44.94% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 33.36% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.65% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 20.68% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.32% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ilves 32.25% (+0.07)
Draw 43.22% (-0.08)
FC Differdange 03 24.52% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Ilves 54.46% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.5% (+0.04)
FC Differdange 03 39.04% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 50.48% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 37.88% (+0.03)
Over 9 39.27% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.21%
Under 9 49.52% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 29.32% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.68% (+0.03)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 51.25% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 48.75% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 26.34% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.66% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.86% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.14% (-0.02)

FC Differdange 03 Goals

Over 0.5 58.31% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 41.69% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 27.44% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 72.56% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 10.18% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 89.82% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.63%
Under 3.5 96.37%

Score analysis

Ilves 52.97%
Draw 23.16%
FC Differdange 03 23.82%
Ilves
1-0 @ 10.1% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.57% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.66% (+0.02)
Total : 52.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.5% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.16%
FC Differdange 03
0-1 @ 6% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 23.82%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 8, 2026 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Bedouret 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Kilo 65'
  • yellowcard Matias Rale 85'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 90'