Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Aug 31, 2026 5.00pm
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Ilves 0 - 1 VPS

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 1.00pm
HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 Gnistan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Ilves has a probability of 30.26% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.82%) and 0-1 (6.72%). The likeliest Ilves win is 2-1 (6.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.02%).

Result

Ilves 30.26% (+0.03)
Draw 22.2% (-0.02)
HJK Helsinki 47.54% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.25% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.46% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 15.54% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 65.57% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 34.43% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 45.31% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 54.69% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 27.98% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 72.02% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ilves 26.49% (-0.08)
Draw 37.35% (+0.04)
HJK Helsinki 36.16% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Ilves 40.29% (+0.01)
No Goal 3.81%
HJK Helsinki 55.9% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.64% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 31.27% (+0.01)
Over 9 46.36% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 42.36% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.78% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.22% (+0.02)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 39.04%
Under 1.5 60.96%
Over 2.5 17.27% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.64% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.36% (+0.02)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 79.93% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.07% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 53.49%
Under 1.5 46.51%
Over 2.5 28.75%
Under 2.5 71.25%
Over 3.5 12.02%
Under 3.5 87.98%

Score analysis

Ilves 30.25%
Draw 22.21%
HJK Helsinki 47.55%
Ilves
2-1 @ 6.86% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.1% (-0.03)
Total : 30.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.69%
0-0 @ 3.81%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.21%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 8.71% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.33% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.48%
Total : 47.55%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 43' goal
  • Alexander Ring 60' yellowcard
  • Lassi Lappalainen 71' yellowcard
  • Mads Borchers 83' goal
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 84' yellowcard
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 85' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Stjopin 21'
  • goal Maksim Stjopin 60'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 62'
  • yellowcard Anton Popovitch 62'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 76'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 76'
  • yellowcard Suvanne Sebastian 76'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 30, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 29, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 11, 2025 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2025 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 38' goal
  • Santeri Hostikka 68' goal
  • Otto Tiitinen 77' goal
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 4'
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 14'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kanellopoulos 42'
  • yellowcard Jere Kallinen 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lee Erwin 15' yellowcard
  • Kevor Palumets 52' yellowcard
  • Liam Moller 78' yellowcard
  • Atomu Tanaka 79' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 52'
  • goal Roope Riski 82'