Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Aug 31, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Faris Krkalic 55' yellowcard
  • Kalle Wallius 59' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Kirilov 23'
  • goal Alexander Ring  57'
  • goal Mads Borchers 73'

Ilves vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Ilves 0 - 1 VPS
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 1.00pm
HJK Helsinki 2 - 3 Gnistan
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.82%) and 0-1 (6.72%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (6.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Ilves 30.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 22.2% ▼ (-0.02)
HJK Helsinki 47.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 15.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 65.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 34.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 45.31% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 54.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 27.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 72.02% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ilves 26.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 37.35% ▲ (+0.04)
HJK Helsinki 36.16% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Ilves 40.29% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 3.81%
HJK Helsinki 55.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 31.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 46.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 42.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 35.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 39.04%
Under 1.5 60.96%
Over 2.5 17.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.36% ▲ (+0.02)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 79.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 53.49%
Under 1.5 46.51%
Over 2.5 28.75%
Under 2.5 71.25%
Over 3.5 12.02%
Under 3.5 87.98%

Score analysis

Ilves 30.25%
Draw 22.21%
HJK Helsinki 47.55%
Ilves
2-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 30.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.69%
0-0 @ 3.81%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.21%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.48%
Total : 47.55%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 16, 2026 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 43' goal
  • Alexander Ring 60' yellowcard
  • Lassi Lappalainen 71' yellowcard
  • Mads Borchers 83' goal
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 84' yellowcard
  • Martin Elias Kirilov 85' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Stjopin 21'
  • goal Maksim Stjopin 60'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 62'
  • yellowcard Anton Popovitch 62'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 76'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 76'
  • yellowcard Suvanne Sebastian 76'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 30, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 29, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 11, 2025 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2025 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Lauri Ala-Myllymaki 38' goal
  • Santeri Hostikka 68' goal
  • Otto Tiitinen 77' goal
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 4'
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 14'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kanellopoulos 42'
  • yellowcard Jere Kallinen 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lee Erwin 15' yellowcard
  • Kevor Palumets 52' yellowcard
  • Liam Moller 78' yellowcard
  • Atomu Tanaka 79' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Doni Arifi 52'
  • goal Roope Riski 82'