Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 17, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
LIVE Mustapekka Areena
  • Sauli Väisänen 4' goal
  • Bogdan Milovanov 24' yellowcard
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 45' goal
  • goal Teemu Hytönen 14'
  • goal Anton Popovitch 41'
  • yellowcard Sauli Väisänen 43'
  • redcard Sauli Väisänen 56'

Gnistan vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 5.00pm
SJK 2 - 2 Gnistan
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.00pm
Ilves 2 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 37.7% and a draw has a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 2-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.17%).

Result

Gnistan 37.7% (-1.69)
Draw 23.88% (+0.08)
Ilves 38.42% (+1.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.16% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.29% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 18.71% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 60.54% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 39.46% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 38.85% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 61.15% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 22.83% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 77.17% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 29.77% (+0.29)
Draw 39.42% (-0.69)
Ilves 30.81% (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 48.52% (+0.62)
No Goal 4.73% (-0.01)
Ilves 46.75% (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 62.6% (+0.93)
Equal 8 10.55% (+0.16)
Under 8 26.86% (-1.07)
Over 9 51.44% (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.15% (+0.24)
Under 9 37.4% (-0.93)
Over 10.5 40.58% (+0.40)
Under 10.5 59.42% (-0.40)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 43.43% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 56.57% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 19.73% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 80.27% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 7.44% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 92.56% (+0.16)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 73.68% (+1.10)
Under 0.5 26.32% (-1.09)
Over 1.5 43.5% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 56.5% (-1.33)
Over 2.5 19.61% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 80.39% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 6.88% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 93.12% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Gnistan 37.7%
Draw 23.88%
Ilves 38.42%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.31)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.17)
Other @ 7.17% (-0.21)
Total : 37.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 6.76% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.27% (+0.06)
Total : 23.88%
Ilves
1-2 @ 8.43% (+0.22)
0-1 @ 7.18% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.42% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 4.66% (+0.29)
2-3 @ 3.55% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.57% (+0.15)
Other @ 6.61% (+0.31)
Total : 38.42%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Jardell Kanga 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 65' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Yiandro Raap 66' yellowcard
  • Jesse Kilo 66' yellowcard
  • Jesse Kilo 67' yellowcard
  • Stanislav Baranov 78' yellowcard
  • Teemu Hytönen 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard A. Jouhi 57'
  • yellowcard Danny Pérez 58'
  • yellowcard A. Jouhi 58'
  • yellowcard V. Hänninen 66'
  • yellowcard A. Atarah 81'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Teemu Hytönen 11' goal
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 23, 2025 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 4, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Jun 1, 2025 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Yevgeni Bashkirov 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joona Veteli 82'
  • goal Oiva Jukkola 87'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 90'+4'