Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 17, 2026 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Sauli Väisänen 4' goal
  • Bogdan Milovanov 24' yellowcard
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 45' goal
  • Bogdan Milovanov 81' goal
  • Danny Pérez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Hytönen 14'
  • goal Anton Popovitch 41'
  • yellowcard Sauli Väisänen 43'
  • redcard Sauli Väisänen 56'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 90'+4'

Gnistan vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 5.00pm
SJK 2 - 2 Gnistan
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.00pm
Ilves 2 - 0 Mariehamn
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 2-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Gnistan 37.7% ▼ (-1.69)
Draw 23.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Ilves 38.42% ▲ (+1.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.16% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.29% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 18.71% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 60.54% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 39.46% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 38.85% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 61.15% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 4.5 22.83% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 77.17% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Gnistan 29.77% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 39.42% ▼ (-0.69)
Ilves 30.81% ▲ (+0.40)

Team To Score First

Gnistan 48.52% ▲ (+0.62)
No Goal 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Ilves 46.75% ▼ (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 62.6% ▲ (+0.93)
Equal 8 10.55% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 8 26.86% ▼ (-1.07)
Over 9 51.44% ▲ (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.15% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 9 37.4% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 10.5 40.58% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 10.5 59.42% ▼ (-0.40)

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 43.43% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 56.57% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 2.5 19.73% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 2.5 80.27% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 3.5 7.44% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 92.56% ▲ (+0.16)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 73.68% ▲ (+1.10)
Under 0.5 26.32% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 1.5 43.5% ▲ (+1.33)
Under 1.5 56.5% ▼ (-1.33)
Over 2.5 19.61% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 2.5 80.39% ▼ (-1.15)
Over 3.5 6.88% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 93.12% ▼ (-0.35)

Score analysis

Gnistan 37.7%
Draw 23.88%
Ilves 38.42%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.21)
1-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.59)
2-0 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 37.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 23.88%
Ilves
1-2 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.22)
0-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.31)
Total : 38.42%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Jardell Kanga 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 65' yellowcard
  • 66' yellowcard
  • Yiandro Raap 66' yellowcard
  • Jesse Kilo 66' yellowcard
  • Jesse Kilo 67' yellowcard
  • Stanislav Baranov 78' yellowcard
  • Teemu Hytönen 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard A. Jouhi 57'
  • yellowcard Danny Pérez 58'
  • yellowcard A. Jouhi 58'
  • yellowcard V. Hänninen 66'
  • yellowcard A. Atarah 81'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Teemu Hytönen 11' goal
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sep 23, 2025 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 4, 2025 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
Jun 1, 2025 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Yevgeni Bashkirov 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joona Veteli 82'
  • goal Oiva Jukkola 87'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 90'+4'