Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Raatin stadion

Oulu vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oulu

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
TPS 3 - 0 Oulu
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 3.00pm
Gnistan 4 - 2 Mariehamn
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oulu win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 24.37% and a draw has a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.35%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 0-1 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

Oulu 51.87% (+0.01)
Draw 23.76%
Gnistan 24.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.07% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.93% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.58%
Under 2.5 46.42%
Over 3.5 30.62%
Under 3.5 69.38%
Over 4.5 17.57% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.43% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Oulu 36.82% (-0.01)
Draw 42.13% (+0.02)
Gnistan 21.05%

Team To Score First

Oulu 59.84% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.82%
Gnistan 34.34% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 71.17%
Equal 8 9.9% (+0.01)
Under 8 18.93% (-0.02)
Over 9 59.84% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.01)
Under 9 28.83%
Over 10.5 48.06% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 51.94% (+0.02)

Oulu Goals

Over 1.5 49.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.32% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.44% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.56% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.95% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.05% (-0.02)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 61.19% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 38.81% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 27.53%
Under 1.5 72.47%
Over 2.5 9.07%
Under 2.5 90.93%
Over 3.5 2.52%
Under 3.5 97.48%

Score analysis

Oulu 51.86%
Draw 23.77%
Gnistan 24.37%
Oulu
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 10.35% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-0 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 8.94% (+0.01)
Total : 51.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 5.82%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.77%
Gnistan
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 24.37%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Sergey Eremenko 10' goal
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 56' yellowcard
  • Otto Hannula 57' yellowcard
  • A. Atarah 70' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 70' yellowcard
  • A. Atarah 71' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 71' yellowcard
  • goal Tuomas Kaukua 17'
  • goal Julius Körkkö 35'
  • goal Rasmus Karjalainen 53'
  • goal Rasmus Karjalainen 69'
  • yellowcard Santeri Silander 72'
  • goal Julius Körkkö 81'
  • yellowcard Juuso Mäkeläinen 82'
  • yellowcard Sami Sipola 90'
  • yellowcard Alex Lietsa 90'
  • yellowcard Sami Sipola 90'+1'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 25, 2025 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 10, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Raatin stadion
  • Miika Koskela 47' goal
  • Tuomas Kaukua 50' goal
  • Justin Rennicks 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tim Vayrynen 34'
  • yellowcard Saku Heiskanen 43'
  • goal Edmund Arko-Mensah 58'
  • goal Edmund Arko-Mensah 65'
  • goal Didrik Hafstad 87'
  • redcard Edmund Arko-Mensah 90'+4'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Teemu Penninkangas 16' yellowcard
  • Jonas Enkerud 53' goal
  • Elias Aijala 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Metaxas 41'
  • yellowcard Leon Bergsma 90'+1'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 9' goal
  • Tim Vayrynen 43' goal
  • Tomas Castro 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Metaxas 15'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 11, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Raatin stadion
  • Ashley Coffey 40' goal
  • Liiban Abdirahman Abadid 48' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Metaxas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jonas Enkerud 32'
  • yellowcard Teemu Penninkangas 39'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 48'
  • yellowcard Saku Heiskanen 57'
  • yellowcard Jussi Leppalahti 81'