Conference League
Jul 30, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
ET Tammelan Stadion
  • Oskari Multala 24' yellowcard
  • Jesse Kilo 52' goal
  • Suvanne Sebastian 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Anton Popovitch 106' yellowcard
  • Tatu Miettunen 113' goal
  • 120'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson 39'
  • yellowcard Gudmundur Baldvin Nökkvason 85'
  • yellowcard Thorri Mar Thórisson 90'+1'
  • goal Faris Krkalic 107' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alex Thór Hauksson 117'

Ilves vs Stjarnan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 8.00pm
Stjarnan 1 - 0 Ilves

Stjarnan

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 8.00pm
Stjarnan 1 - 0 Ilves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Ilves 48.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 22.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Stjarnan 28.66% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 40.69% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 36.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 63.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 23.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.74% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Ilves 38.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 35.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Stjarnan 25.53% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Ilves 51.2% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 5.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Stjarnan 43.19% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 65.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.09%
Under 8 24.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 54.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 34.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 43.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 56.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 49.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.86%
Under 3.5 89.14%

Stjarnan Goals

Over 0.5 63.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 66.84% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.43% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Ilves 48.93%
Draw 22.41%
Stjarnan 28.67%
Ilves
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.25% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 10.6%
Total : 48.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.41%
Stjarnan
1-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Samsung völlurinn
  • Emil Atlason 64' yellowcard
  • Gudmundur Baldvin Nökkvason 84' goal
  • Daníel Finns Matthíasson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anton Popovitch 81'