Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a B 93 win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a B 93 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.