Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Ilves

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw has a probability of 21.95% and a win for Ilves has a probability of 19.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Ilves win it is 0-1 (5.33%).

Result

HNK Rijeka 58.81%
Draw 21.95% (-0.02)
Ilves 19.25% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.04% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.85% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.15% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.29% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 66.71% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 20.75% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.25% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

HNK Rijeka 41.29%
Draw 40.08% (-0.08)
Ilves 18.63% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

HNK Rijeka 62.01% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.59% (-0.01)
Ilves 32.4% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.45% (-0.51)
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 27.2% (+0.52)
Over 9 51.51% (-0.47)
Equal 9 10.94% (-0.06)
Under 9 37.55% (+0.51)
Over 10.5 40.85% (-0.38)
Under 10.5 59.15% (+0.38)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 1.5 56.26% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.74% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 70.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.96% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.04% (+0.02)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 55.18% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.82% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.12% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 76.88% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.51% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.49% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.13% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.87% (-0.02)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 58.81%
Draw 21.95%
Ilves 19.24%
HNK Rijeka
2-1 @ 10.38%
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.06% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.78% (-0.01)
Total : 58.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.95%
Ilves
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.95% (+0.03)
Total : 19.24%