Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Branko Pavic 11' yellowcard
  • Niko Jankovic 16' goal
  • Alfonso Barco 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Kilo 27'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 75'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 90'+2'

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Ilves

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.88% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%) , while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

HNK Rijeka 58.87% (+0.06)
Draw 21.88% (-0.08)
Ilves 19.26% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.13% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.93% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 21.07% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 56.45% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 43.55% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 33.41% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 66.59% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 20.85% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 79.15% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

HNK Rijeka 41.38% (+0.10)
Draw 39.96% (-0.12)
Ilves 18.66% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

HNK Rijeka 62.05% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.56% (-0.04)
Ilves 32.39% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.48% (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 27.16% (-0.04)
Over 9 51.53% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.95% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.52% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 40.86% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 59.14% (-0.01)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 1.5 56.35% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 43.65% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 29.93% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 70.07% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 13.01% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 86.99% (-0.06)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.16% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.84% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.53% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.13%
Under 3.5 97.87%

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 58.86%
Draw 21.87%
Ilves 19.26%
HNK Rijeka
2-1 @ 10.35% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 6.08% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.84% (+0.07)
Total : 58.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 21.87%
Ilves
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Total : 19.26%