Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
LIVE Tammelan Stadion
  • Jardell Kanga 38' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Lindholm 9'

Ilves vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 4.00pm
Gnistan 3 - 2 Ilves
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Teemu Hytönen

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 4.00pm
VPS 1 - 3 TPS
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Simon Lindholm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ilves win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 30.29% and a draw has a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.64%).

Result

Ilves 44.37% (+0.03)
Draw 25.34% (+0.02)
Vaasan Palloseura 30.29% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.89% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 42.11% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.05% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 63.95% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 21.14% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.86% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Ilves 33.74%
Draw 40.04% (+0.01)
Vaasan Palloseura 26.22% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Ilves 50.66% (+0.05)
No Goal 5.2% (-0.01)
Vaasan Palloseura 44.14% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.29% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.44% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.27% (-0.08)
Over 9 41.12% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.18% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.71% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 31.05% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 68.95% (-0.04)

Ilves Goals

Over 1.5 47.77% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.23% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.65% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.35% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.51%
Under 3.5 91.49%

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 68.08% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.92% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 35.71% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.29% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.83% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.73% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.27% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ilves 44.37%
Draw 25.34%
Vaasan Palloseura 30.29%
Ilves
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.14%
Total : 44.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 25.34%
Vaasan Palloseura
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.36% (-0.01)
Total : 30.29%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 24, 2026 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Vilmer Rönnberg 4' goal
  • Jonathan Muzinga 27' goal
  • Simon Lindholm 45'+2' goal
  • Jabir Ali 62' yellowcard
  • Antti-Ville Räisänen 62' yellowcard
  • Jabir Ali 63' yellowcard
  • Antti-Ville Räisänen 63' yellowcard
  • Jabir Ali 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan 79' yellowcard
  • Jabir Ali 79' yellowcard
  • Antti-Ville Räisänen 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Kilo 24'
  • yellowcard Jesse Kilo 26'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 46'
  • yellowcard Oskari Multala 48'
  • yellowcard Jardell Kanga 50'
  • goal Oskari Multala 61'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard Stanislav Baranov 83'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 83'
  • yellowcard Bamba Abdoul Goudouss 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Jul 12, 2025 3.00pm
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 2, 2025 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Sauli Vaisanen 41'
  • yellowcard Maksim Stjopin 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Martti Haukioja 83' yellowcard
  • goal Joona Veteli 48'
  • goal Marius Soderback 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Ratinan Stadion
  • Santeri Haarala 10' goal
  • Otso Virtanen 13' redcard
  • Juhani Pikkarainen 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Oiva Jukkola 62' yellowcard
  • Joona Veteli 76' goal
  • Anton Popovits 90' goal
  • goal Teemu Hytonen 34'
  • goal Teemu Hytonen 45'
  • yellowcard Antti-Ville Raisanen 59'
  • yellowcard Prosper Ahiabu 67'
  • yellowcard Lauri-Eemil Vetri 75'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 7, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kaarlen kentta
  • Mads Borchers 41' goal
  • Prosper Ahiabu 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joona Veteli 35'
  • goal Doni Arifi 73'