Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 14, 2026 4.00pm
Hietalahden jalkapallostadion

Vaasan Palloseura vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 5.00pm
Jaro 1 - 3 VPS
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.00pm
KuPS 1 - 1 TPS
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw has a probability of 21.97% and a win for TPS has a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.77%) , while for a TPS win it is 1-2 (5.54%).

Result

Vaasan Palloseura 56.5% (+0.16)
Draw 21.97% (-0.13)
TPS 21.53% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.42% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.78% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.22% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 59.9% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 40.1% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 37.63% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 62.37% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 23.53% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 76.47% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Vaasan Palloseura 42.76% (+0.08)
Draw 38.49% (-0.08)
TPS 18.76%

Team To Score First

Vaasan Palloseura 61.77% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.94% (-0.02)
TPS 33.29% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.58% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.86% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.56% (-0.07)
Over 9 49.28% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 39.42% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 38.46% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 61.54% (-0.07)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 1.5 56.79% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 43.21% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 30.41% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 69.59% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 13.63% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 86.37% (-0.08)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 58.87% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 41.13% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 27.4% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 72.6% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.43% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.57% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.71% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.29% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 56.5%
Draw 21.97%
TPS 21.54%
Vaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 10.32% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 13.5% (+0.10)
Total : 56.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 21.97%
TPS
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Total : 21.54%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 9
May 30, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Tobias Karkulowski 5' yellowcard
  • Matej Hradecky 70' yellowcard
  • Miika Kauppila 83' goal
  • Eetu Turkki 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 44'
Club Friendlies 3
Mar 14, 2026 3.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • 89' goal