Finnish Veikkausliiga
Aug 1, 2026 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Kian Visser 20' goal
  • S. Anini 40' yellowcard
  • S. Anini 42' goal
  • Kian Visser 55' goal
  • yellowcard A. Soiniemi 50'
  • yellowcard Foster Gyamfi 64'
  • yellowcard E. Patut 73'

TPS vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 3.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 0 TPS
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.30pm
Mariehamn 1 - 1 Oulu
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TPS win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.72% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a TPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%) , while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

TPS 57.01% (+0.04)
Draw 21.72% (-0.02)
IFK Mariehamn 21.27% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.12% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 19.84% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.27% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 41.73% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 35.65%
Under 3.5 64.35%
Over 4.5 21.85% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.15% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

TPS 39.83% (-0.04)
Draw 40.4% (+0.04)
IFK Mariehamn 19.78% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

TPS 59.84% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.93%
IFK Mariehamn 35.23% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.96% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 24.22% (-0.06)
Over 9 53.26% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 35.04% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 41.7% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 58.3% (-0.04)

TPS Goals

Over 1.5 56.12%
Under 1.5 43.88%
Over 2.5 29.25%
Under 2.5 70.75%
Over 3.5 12.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.41% (-0.02)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 58.34% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 41.66% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 26.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.05% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.56% (+0.02)

Score analysis

TPS 57.02%
Draw 21.71%
IFK Mariehamn 21.28%
TPS
2-1 @ 10.43%
1-0 @ 9.79% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29%
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 12.49% (+0.02)
Total : 57.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 21.71%
IFK Mariehamn
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.28%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • Adam Larsson 39' goal
  • Adam Stroud 68' yellowcard
  • E. Patut 68' yellowcard
  • L. Andersson 78' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 78' yellowcard
  • L. Andersson 79' yellowcard
  • Marlo Hyvönen 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pau Juvanteny 63'
  • yellowcard E. Vauhkonen 63'
  • yellowcard Eetu Turkki 70'
  • goal Pau Juvanteny 77'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Talo 81'
  • yellowcard Oscar Häggström 81'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 81'
  • yellowcard Miika Kauppila 82'
  • yellowcard Oscar Häggström 82'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Sep 14, 2020 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aldayr Hernandez 48' yellowcard
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 84' goal
  • yellowcard Niilo Maenpaa 23'
  • goal Dmytro Bilonog 68'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Bilonog 72'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
Aug 16, 2020 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Peter Makrillos 34' goal
  • Frankline Okoye 81' yellowcard
  • Peter Makrillos 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Masahudu Alhassan 27'
  • yellowcard Jonni Peraaho 61'
  • yellowcard Sami Rahmonen 90'+2'