Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 26, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Santeri Haarala 16' goal
  • Alexander Ring  32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timo Zaal 69'

HJK Helsinki vs TPS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
HJK Helsinki 2 - 1 VPS
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

TPS

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 20, 2026 4.00pm
TPS 1 - 3 Ilves
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Albijon Muzaci

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.04% and a win for TPS had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%) , while for a TPS win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

HJK Helsinki 64.9% (-0.04)
Draw 19.04% (-0.02)
TPS 16.01% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.57% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.59% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.41% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 63.85% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 36.15% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 41.67% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 58.33% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 27.65% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 72.35% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 50.03% (+0.03)
Draw 33.65% (-0.06)
TPS 16.33% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 67.21% (-0.03)
No Goal 3.78% (-0.03)
TPS 29.01% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 67.83% (-0.16)
Equal 8 10.14% (+0.05)
Under 8 22.03% (+0.13)
Over 9 56.62% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.21% (+0.03)
Under 9 32.17% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 45.28% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 54.72% (+0.18)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 64.4%
Under 1.5 35.6%
Over 2.5 38.17% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 61.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.54% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 81.46% (-0.02)

TPS Goals

Over 0.5 52.62% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 47.38% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 22.9% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.1% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 7.24% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.76% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.02% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.98% (-0.01)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 64.9%
Draw 19.03%
TPS 16%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 10.07% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.16%
3-0 @ 7.13%
3-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 18.49% (+0.01)
Total : 64.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.78% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 19.03%
TPS
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 1.97% (+0.02)
Total : 16%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
May 8, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Veritas Stadion
  • Theodoros Tsirigotis 51' goal
  • Miika Kauppila 60' yellowcard
  • Tobias Karkulowski 73' yellowcard
  • Lasse Ikonen 73' yellowcard
  • Akim Sairinen 83' yellowcard
  • Tomi Väkiparta 83' yellowcard
  • Tomi Väkiparta 86' yellowcard
  • Akim Sairinen 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooklyn Lyons-Foster 34'
  • yellowcard Teemu Pukki 57'
  • yellowcard D. Ezeh 76'
  • yellowcard Lassi Lappalainen 77'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 77'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Sep 24, 2020 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lucas Lingman 21' yellowcard
  • Tim Vayrynen 24' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Schuller 44' yellowcard
  • Riku Riski 56' goal
  • Valtteri Moren 64' yellowcard
  • Tim Vayrynen 66' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos de Brito 68'
  • goal Mika Aaritalo 87'
  • goal Rasmus Holma 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jul 22, 2020 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Niklas Pyyhtia 38' yellowcard
  • Albijon Muzaci 55' yellowcard
  • Juhani Pikkarainen 57' yellowcard
  • Albijon Muzaci 58' redcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Ostojic 4'
  • goal Tim Vayrynen 9'
  • goal Roope Riski 77'
  • yellowcard Bubacar Djalo 87'