Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 16
Jul 18, 2026 1.00pm
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Lahti 2 - 0 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 5.00pm
VPS 1 - 0 SJK
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura has a probability of 27.48% and a draw has a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win is 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.66%).

Result

HJK Helsinki 49.59% (-0.05)
Draw 22.93% (-0.02)
Vaasan Palloseura 27.48% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.46% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.02% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 59.66% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 40.34% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 35.62% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 64.38% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.52% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.48% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 39.97% (-0.04)
Draw 36.6% (+0.04)
Vaasan Palloseura 23.43% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 56.65% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.6% (-0.03)
Vaasan Palloseura 38.75% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.46% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.41%
Under 8 22.13% (+0.04)
Over 9 55.96% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 32.54% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 44.37% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.63% (+0.04)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 51.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.96% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 25.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.82% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.18% (-0.02)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 65.17% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 34.83% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 33.19% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.81% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.78% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.22% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.95% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.05% (-0.04)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 49.59%
Draw 22.92%
Vaasan Palloseura 27.49%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.69% (+0.02)
Total : 49.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.92%
Vaasan Palloseura
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.82% (+0.03)
Total : 27.49%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 22, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Luka Smyth 63' goal
  • Joonas Vahtera 65' yellowcard
  • Simon Lindholm 65' yellowcard
  • Simon Lindholm 75' yellowcard
  • Simon Lindholm 76' yellowcard
  • Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lassi Lappalainen 5'
  • yellowcard Mads Borchers 46'
  • yellowcard Jesse Öst 54'
  • yellowcard L. Möller 54'
  • yellowcard Martin Elias Kirilov 77'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 81'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Jul 5, 2025 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Apr 26, 2025 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Teemu Pukki 4' goal
  • Pyry Mentu 45'+1' goal
  • Benji Michel 88' goal
  • Hassane Bande 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Prosper Ahiabu 38'
  • redcard Prosper Ahiabu 41'
  • goal Alfie Cicale 62'
  • yellowcard Maissa Fall 76'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Prosper Ahiabu 44' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lindeman 73' goal
  • Emmanuel Ifeanyi Ogude 77' yellowcard
  • Mikko Pitkanen 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Erwin 33'
  • yellowcard Noah Pallas 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lingman 79'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Antzoulas 86'
  • yellowcard Thijmen Nijhuis 90'
  • yellowcard Mikko Pitkanen 90'+2'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 22
Sep 1, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Hietalahden jalkapallostadion
  • Jesper Engstrom 5' goal
  • Yevgeni Bashkirov 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Meriluoto 10'
  • yellowcard Hassane Bande 12'
  • goal Kai Meriluoto 50'
  • yellowcard Giorgos Kanellopoulos 54'
  • goal Lee Erwin 83'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 7
May 17, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lucas Lingman 73' yellowcard
  • Luke Plange 90'+1' goal
  • goal Mads Borchers 29'
  • goal Antti-Ville Raisanen 66'
  • yellowcard Jussi Nuorela 90'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Miika Niemi 90'+4'