Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 20
Aug 16, 2026 2.00pm
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki vs Jaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 5.00pm
Oulu 0 - 1 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 5.00pm
Jaro 1 - 3 VPS
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Herman Sjögrell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw has a probability of 16.3% and a win for Jaro has a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.01%) , while for a Jaro win it is 1-2 (3.92%).

Result

HJK Helsinki 70.02% (+0.11)
Draw 16.3% (-0.03)
Jaro 13.68% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.82% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.32% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 13.68% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 69.17%
Under 2.5 30.83%
Over 3.5 46.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 53.53% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 32.9%
Under 4.5 67.1%

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 51.8% (-0.03)
Draw 32.75% (+0.03)
Jaro 15.46% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 70.63% (+0.08)
No Goal 3.09% (-0.02)
Jaro 26.28% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 65.16% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 24.58%
Over 9 54.08%
Equal 9 11.07% (-0.01)
Under 9 34.84% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 43.09% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 56.91% (-0.02)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 70.13% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 29.87% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.31% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 54.69% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.56% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.44% (+0.01)

Jaro Goals

Over 0.5 47.87% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 52.13% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.98% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 79.02% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.68% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.32% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.18% (+0.02)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 70.01%
Draw 16.3%
Jaro 13.68%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.5% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.41% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 24.34%
Total : 70.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 16.3%
Jaro
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-2 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 13.68%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 10
Jun 13, 2026 3.00pm
2
5
HT : 2 1
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • Fabian Østigård Ness 4' goal
  • Kaius Hardén 17' goal
  • V. Vuorinen 20' yellowcard
  • Oliver Isak Ferial Kass Kawo 78' yellowcard
  • Michael Ogungbaro 82' redcard
  • goal Alexander Ring 29'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 41'
  • goal Ville Tikkanen 57'
  • goal Miska Ylitolva 65'
  • goal Mads Borchers 69'
  • goal Mads Borchers 84'
  • yellowcard Martin Elias Kirilov 87'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2025 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 6
May 11, 2025 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Jakobstads Centralplan
  • Kerfala Cissoko 77' yellowcard
  • Jim Myrevik 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Benji Michel 65'
  • goal Alexander Ring 72'
  • goal David Ezeh 82'