Conference League
Jul 30, 2026 7.45pm
The Showgrounds

Coleraine vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 5 - 0 Coleraine

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 5 - 0 Coleraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coleraine win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for HJK Helsinki has a probability of 36.11% and a draw has a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win is 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.73%).

Result

Coleraine 40.07% (-0.29)
Draw 23.82% (+0.04)
HJK Helsinki 36.11% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.64% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.81% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 19.19% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 59.3% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 40.7% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 36.73% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 63.27% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.52% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 77.48% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Coleraine 32.15% (+0.06)
Draw 37.48% (-0.14)
HJK Helsinki 30.38% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Coleraine 49.16%
No Goal 5.04% (+0.03)
HJK Helsinki 45.8% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 61.19% (-0.11)
Equal 8 10.51% (+0.03)
Under 8 28.3% (+0.09)
Over 9 50.2% (-0.11)
Equal 9 10.99% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.81% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 39.59% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 60.41% (+0.12)

Coleraine Goals

Over 1.5 43.93% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 56.07% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 20.47% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 79.53% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 8.21% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 91.79% (+0.14)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 70.82% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 29.18% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 40.24% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 59.76% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 18.27% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.73% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.97% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.03% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Coleraine 40.07%
Draw 23.82%
HJK Helsinki 36.12%
Coleraine
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.19% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.91% (-0.12)
Total : 40.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.73% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.04% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 23.82%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 7.65% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.13% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.87% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.83%
Other @ 6.67% (+0.06)
Total : 36.12%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Liam Möller 12' goal
  • Alexander Ring  23' yellowcard
  • Pyry Mentu 32' goal
  • Toivo Mero 47' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 80' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 82' goal