Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 21
Aug 23, 2026 1.00pm
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 2.00pm
HJK Helsinki 3 - 0 Jaro
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 4.00pm
Gnistan 3 - 2 Ilves
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw has a probability of 19.95% and a win for Gnistan has a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.96%) , while for a Gnistan win it is 1-2 (4.8%).

Result

HJK Helsinki 62.95% (-0.18)
Draw 19.95% (+0.10)
Gnistan 17.11% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.6% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.57% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 16.43% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 63.28% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 36.72% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 41.11% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 58.89% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 27.17% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 72.83% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

HJK Helsinki 50.56% (-0.11)
Draw 33.29% (+0.08)
Gnistan 16.15% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

HJK Helsinki 67.56% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.93% (+0.05)
Gnistan 28.51% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.71% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.51%
Under 8 27.78% (-0.03)
Over 9 50.67% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 38.29% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 39.98% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 60.02% (-0.01)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 1.5 63.15% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 36.85% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 36.63% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 63.37% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 17.95% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 82.05% (+0.21)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 53.74% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 46.26% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 24.32% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.68% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.02% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.15% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.85% (+0.01)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 62.94%
Draw 19.95%
Gnistan 17.11%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 10.03%
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.71% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 17.78% (-0.21)
Total : 62.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.93% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.95%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 4.8% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.79% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.98% (-0.02)
Total : 17.11%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 18, 2026 12.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Otto Hannula 59' yellowcard
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 60' yellowcard
  • S. Ylätupa 60' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 60' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • J. Latonen 75' yellowcard
  • Danny Pérez 75' yellowcard
  • V. Hänninen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 44'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 52'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 61'
  • yellowcard Mads Borchers 61'
  • yellowcard Teemu Pukki 61'
  • yellowcard 61'
  • yellowcard Jere Kallinen 72'
  • goal M. Bogićević 79'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard L. Möller 83'
  • yellowcard Kaius Simojoki 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Nov 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2025 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Apr 22, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Daniel O'Shaughnessy 58' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 86' yellowcard
  • goal Joakim Latonen 59'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 71'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 11
Jun 12, 2024 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Jukka Raitala 56' yellowcard
  • goal Momodou Sarr 3' (OG)
  • goal Topi Keskinen 36'
  • yellowcard Aapo Halme 42'
  • goal Santeri Hostikka 82'
  • goal Stanislav Baranov 90'+2'