2.Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2026 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
LIVE Holstein-Stadion
  • Guillermo Balzi 47' yellowcard
  • Timon Weiner 47' yellowcard
  • Phil Harres 56' goal
  • Kasper Davidsen 72' yellowcard
  • goal Martijn Kaars 32'
  • yellowcard Mathias Rasmussen 45'+2'
  • goal Taichi Hara 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joel Chima Fujita 49'
  • yellowcard Ricky-Jade Jones 73'

Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 12.00pm
Darmstadt 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 12.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 1 Greuther Furth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

Holstein Kiel 50.07%
Draw 24.69%
St Pauli 25.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.67% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.11%
Under 1.5 20.89%
Over 2.5 56.18%
Under 2.5 43.82%
Over 3.5 33.61%
Under 3.5 66.39%
Over 4.5 19.93%
Under 4.5 80.07%

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 37.03%
Draw 39.95%
St Pauli 23.02%

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 55.9%
No Goal 5.81%
St Pauli 38.29%

Corners

Over 8 64.84%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 24.26%
Over 9 53.07%
Equal 9 11.77%
Under 9 35.16%
Over 10.5 41.47%
Under 10.5 58.53%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 50.57%
Under 1.5 49.43%
Over 2.5 24.98%
Under 2.5 75.02%
Over 3.5 9.77%
Under 3.5 90.23%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 62.93%
Under 0.5 37.07%
Over 1.5 30.24%
Under 1.5 69.76%
Over 2.5 10.65%
Under 2.5 89.35%
Over 3.5 3.37%
Under 3.5 96.63%

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 50.07%
Draw 24.7%
St Pauli 25.24%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 9.49%
Total : 50.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.7%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-1 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 21' goal
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 21' goal
  • Marko Ivezic 60' yellowcard
  • Phil Harres 77' yellowcard
  • Marvin Schulz 86' yellowcard
  • goal Danel Sinani 34'
  • goal Danel Sinani 34'
  • yellowcard David Nemeth 37'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 46'
  • yellowcard Hauke Wahl 82'
  • goal Max Geschwill 90'+2' (OG)
  • goal Max Geschwill 90'+2' (OG)
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2024 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Manolis Saliakas 25' goal
  • Eric Smith 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Guilavogui 56' goal
  • Johannes Eggestein 85' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Rapp 0'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 23'
  • yellowcard Shuto Machino 23'
  • yellowcard Marko Ivezic 27'
  • yellowcard Timo Becker 38'
  • goal Phil Harres 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Patrick Erras 90'+2'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 0 3
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Marvin Schulz 45' yellowcard
  • Shuto Machino 53' goal
  • Joshua Mees 65' goal
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 82' goal
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 11'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 34'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 36'
  • goal Connor Metcalfe 57'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Fabian Hurzeler 0' yellowcard
  • Connor Metcalfe 4' goal
  • Eric Smith 7' goal
  • Eric Smith 27' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 38' goal
  • Sascha Burchert 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Elias Saad 49' yellowcard
  • Lars Ritzka 69' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Finn-Dominik Porath 16'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 47'
  • goal Lewis Holtby 50'
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 73'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Steven Skrzybski 28' goal
  • Marco Komenda 78' goal
  • Fabian Reese 90'+3' goal
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 39'
  • goal Hauke Wahl 53' (OG)
  • goal Lukas Daschner 61'
  • goal Leart Paqarada 74'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT