2.Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Holstein Kiel
Aug 14, 2026 5.30pm
Holstein-Stadion
St Pauli

Holstein Kiel vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 12.00pm
Darmstadt 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 12.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 1 Greuther Furth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 25.23% and a draw has a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 1-2 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.45%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 50.07%
Draw 24.69% ▼ (-0.01)
St Pauli 25.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.68% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 20.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.07% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 37.03%
Draw 39.95%
St Pauli 23.02%

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 55.9% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
St Pauli 38.29%

Corners

Over 8 64.84%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 24.26%
Over 9 53.07%
Equal 9 11.77%
Under 9 35.16%
Over 10.5 41.47%
Under 10.5 58.53%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 50.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.23% ▼ (-0.04)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 62.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.63% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 50.06%
Draw 24.7%
St Pauli 25.24%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 50.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.7%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Holstein Kiel
Apr 12, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
St Pauli
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 21' goal
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 21' goal
  • Marko Ivezic 60' yellowcard
  • Phil Harres 77' yellowcard
  • Marvin Schulz 86' yellowcard
  • goal Danel Sinani 34'
  • goal Danel Sinani 34'
  • yellowcard David Nemeth 37'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 46'
  • yellowcard Hauke Wahl 82'
  • goal Max Geschwill 90'+2' (OG)
  • goal Max Geschwill 90'+2' (OG)
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
St Pauli
Nov 29, 2024 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
  • Manolis Saliakas 25' goal
  • Eric Smith 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Guilavogui 56' goal
  • Johannes Eggestein 85' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Rapp 0'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 23'
  • yellowcard Shuto Machino 23'
  • yellowcard Marko Ivezic 27'
  • yellowcard Timo Becker 38'
  • goal Phil Harres 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Patrick Erras 90'+2'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Holstein Kiel
Feb 23, 2024 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 0 3
FT Holstein-Stadion
St Pauli
  • Marvin Schulz 45' yellowcard
  • Shuto Machino 53' goal
  • Joshua Mees 65' goal
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 82' goal
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 11'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 34'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 36'
  • goal Connor Metcalfe 57'
  • yellowcard Manolis Saliakas 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 6
St Pauli
Sep 17, 2023 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
  • Fabian Hurzeler 0' yellowcard
  • Connor Metcalfe 4' goal
  • Eric Smith 7' goal
  • Eric Smith 27' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 38' goal
  • Sascha Burchert 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Elias Saad 49' yellowcard
  • Lars Ritzka 69' goal
  • Marcel Hartel 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Finn-Dominik Porath 16'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 47'
  • goal Lewis Holtby 50'
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 73'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
St Pauli
  • Steven Skrzybski 28' goal
  • Marco Komenda 78' goal
  • Fabian Reese 90'+3' goal
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 39'
  • goal Hauke Wahl 53' (OG)
  • goal Lukas Daschner 61'
  • goal Leart Paqarada 74'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 16
St Pauli
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Holstein Kiel

Form Data

Darmstadt 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 0 Eimsbutteler TV
Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Mainz 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel
Swansea 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 4 - 1 Al-Ahli
St Pauli 1 - 1 Greuther Furth
St Pauli 2 - 2 Deportivo
Bournemouth 4 - 1 St Pauli
Gorica 1 - 2 St Pauli
Babelsberg 1 - 4 St Pauli
St Pauli 1 - 3 Kickers Emden