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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Earthquakes

Pukki (56')
Arriaga (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marie (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-2 St Louis City
Sunday, September 24 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes

With just three points separating Minnesota United and San Jose, we anticipate an action-packed contest at Allianz Field as both sides look to strengthen their stake for a playoff spot. Given the stakes of the game, we predict that both sides will take a cautious approach to this one and settle for a share of the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
63.96% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 20.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 15.79% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.308 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (-0.299 -0.3)42.56% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (-0.299 -0.3)64.96% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)12.62% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.26% (-0.148 -0.15)38.74% (0.151 0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.302 -0.3)39.89% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.279 -0.28)76.55% (0.283 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 63.95%
    San Jose Earthquakes 15.79%
    Draw 20.25%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 10.41% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.44% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.84% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 63.95%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 15.79%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
Mar 20, 2022 12am
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 26
Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota Utd

Lopez (90+4')
Cardoso (21')
Trapp (22')
Taylor (82'), Dibassy (89')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Earthquakes

Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1373332201224
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati12642139422
3Toronto126151415-119
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls124621717018
5New York City FCNY City125251212017
6Columbus Crew11371129316
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113622017315
8DC United123631718-115
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC124351213-115
10CF MontrealMontreal114341520-515
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113441512313
12Nashville SCNashville112631418-412
13Orlando City112451219-710
14Chicago Fire112451119-810
15New England RevolutionNew England11227819-118

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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