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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Minnesota United

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Cowell (16')
Gruezo (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pukki (4')
Reynoso (39'), Boxall (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Thursday, August 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United

With only goal difference to split them in the league table, there is likely going to be very little between these two teams at the weekend in what should be a competitive match. However, the recent run of Minnesota United coupled with their strong away form could be enough for them to just edge three points here.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
50.87% (-1.322 -1.32) 23.12% (0.307 0.31) 26% (1.009 1.01)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)41.71% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)64.11% (0.507 0.51)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)16.51% (0.65 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-1.19 -1.19)46.25% (1.183 1.18)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.515 0.52)29.34% (-0.519 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (0.629 0.63)65.32% (-0.634 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 50.87%
    Minnesota United 26%
    Draw 23.11%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.86% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 50.87%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.19 0.19)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 26%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 12am
Aug 18, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 26
Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota Utd

Lopez (90+4')
Cardoso (21')
Trapp (22')
Taylor (82'), Dibassy (89')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Earthquakes

Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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