Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 75.74%. A draw has a probability of 14.4% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.51%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-2 (2.94%).
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
75.74% ( 0.65) | 14.45% ( -0.37) | 9.81% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.36% ( 1.03) | 29.65% ( -1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.24% ( 1.24) | 50.76% ( -1.23) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.5% ( 0.36) | 6.5% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.72% ( 0.95) | 24.28% ( -0.95) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.47% ( 0.24) | 40.53% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.87% ( 0.22) | 77.14% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.08) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.29% Total : 75.74% | 1-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.45% | 1-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |